Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	8.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	8.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	8.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	7.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	7.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	7.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	6.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	6.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	7.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	7.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	7.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	7.4	7.4037	6.9451	7.8623	0.4937	0.3404	0.0015	0.3404
50	7.4	7.4049	6.7564	8.0533	0.4941	0.5059	0.036	0.3869
51	7.8	7.5675	6.778	8.3569	0.2819	0.6612	0.0582	0.5665
52	6.6	7.4482	6.6383	8.2581	0.0201	0.1973	0.3566	0.4501
53	6.6	7.4437	6.6163	8.2712	0.0228	0.9772	0.2719	0.447
54	6.2	7.3201	6.4733	8.1669	0.0048	0.9522	0.2585	0.3386
55	6.1	6.5298	5.617	7.4427	0.178	0.7606	0.2134	0.0186
56	6.2	6.5302	5.5552	7.5052	0.2534	0.8064	0.2286	0.0256
57	6.3	6.5925	5.5619	7.623	0.289	0.7723	0.2191	0.0422
58	6	7.1547	6.0963	8.2131	0.0162	0.9433	0.3248	0.2613
59	6.2	7.2084	6.1204	8.2964	0.0346	0.9853	0.365	0.2997
60	6.3	7.2681	6.1497	8.3864	0.0449	0.9694	0.3422	0.3422

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0316	-5e-04	0	0	0	0.0011
50	0.0447	-7e-04	1e-04	0	0	0.0014
51	0.0532	0.0307	0.0026	0.0541	0.0045	0.0671
52	0.0555	-0.1139	0.0095	0.7194	0.0599	0.2448
53	0.0567	-0.1134	0.0094	0.7119	0.0593	0.2436
54	0.059	-0.153	0.0128	1.2546	0.1046	0.3233
55	0.0713	-0.0658	0.0055	0.1848	0.0154	0.1241
56	0.0762	-0.0506	0.0042	0.109	0.0091	0.0953
57	0.0798	-0.0444	0.0037	0.0855	0.0071	0.0844
58	0.0755	-0.1614	0.0134	1.3333	0.1111	0.3333
59	0.077	-0.1399	0.0117	1.0169	0.0847	0.2911
60	0.0785	-0.1332	0.0111	0.9371	0.0781	0.2795