Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	2.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	2.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	2.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	2.2	2.9291	2.1861	3.6721	0.0272	0.5306	1	0.5306
50	2.1	3.2209	2.1702	4.2717	0.0183	0.9716	1	0.7253
51	2.3	3.2888	2.0019	4.5757	0.066	0.9649	0.9988	0.7231
52	2.3	2.7768	1.2908	4.2628	0.2647	0.7353	0.9743	0.4355
53	2.7	2.9082	1.2468	4.5696	0.403	0.7635	0.9711	0.5039
54	2.6	2.9209	1.1009	4.7409	0.3648	0.594	0.9596	0.509
55	2.9	2.9157	0.9499	4.8815	0.4938	0.6235	0.9778	0.5062
56	3.1	2.8545	0.753	4.956	0.4094	0.4831	0.9264	0.4831
57	2.8	2.5664	0.3374	4.7953	0.4186	0.3194	0.7498	0.3846
58	2.1	2.1125	-0.237	4.4621	0.4958	0.2832	0.312	0.2556
59	2.3	2.2096	-0.2547	4.6738	0.4713	0.5347	0.3781	0.2914
60	2.2	2.1931	-0.3807	4.767	0.4979	0.4676	0.2952	0.2952

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.1294	-0.2489	0.0207	0.5316	0.0443	0.2105
50	0.1664	-0.348	0.029	1.2565	0.1047	0.3236
51	0.1996	-0.3007	0.0251	0.9778	0.0815	0.2855
52	0.273	-0.1717	0.0143	0.2274	0.0189	0.1377
53	0.2915	-0.0716	0.006	0.0433	0.0036	0.0601
54	0.3179	-0.1099	0.0092	0.103	0.0086	0.0926
55	0.344	-0.0054	4e-04	2e-04	0	0.0045
56	0.3756	0.086	0.0072	0.0603	0.005	0.0709
57	0.4431	0.091	0.0076	0.0546	0.0045	0.0674
58	0.5675	-0.0059	5e-04	2e-04	0	0.0036
59	0.569	0.0409	0.0034	0.0082	7e-04	0.0261
60	0.5988	0.0031	3e-04	0	0	0.002