Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	8.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	8.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	8.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	7.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	7.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	7.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	6.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	6.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	7.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	7.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	7.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	7.4	7.4031	6.9495	7.8568	0.4946	0.3378	0.0013	0.3378
50	7.4	7.4219	6.8043	8.0395	0.4723	0.5277	0.0333	0.4021
51	7.8	7.5887	6.8518	8.3256	0.2871	0.6921	0.052	0.5933
52	6.6	7.4885	6.7385	8.2385	0.0101	0.2078	0.3854	0.488
53	6.6	7.4606	6.7017	8.2196	0.0131	0.9869	0.2682	0.4595
54	6.2	7.3245	6.5544	8.0946	0.0021	0.9674	0.2416	0.3275
55	6.1	6.5312	5.7087	7.3537	0.1521	0.785	0.1897	0.0105
56	6.2	6.5468	5.6659	7.4277	0.2202	0.8399	0.216	0.017
57	6.3	6.6199	5.6869	7.5529	0.2508	0.8112	0.2123	0.0322
58	6	7.1904	6.2324	8.1484	0.0074	0.9657	0.334	0.2632
59	6.2	7.2324	6.2535	8.2114	0.0194	0.9932	0.3686	0.2961
60	6.3	7.2802	6.2803	8.2802	0.0273	0.9829	0.3333	0.3333

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0313	-4e-04	0	0	0	9e-04
50	0.0425	-0.003	2e-04	5e-04	0	0.0063
51	0.0495	0.0278	0.0023	0.0446	0.0037	0.061
52	0.0511	-0.1187	0.0099	0.7895	0.0658	0.2565
53	0.0519	-0.1154	0.0096	0.7407	0.0617	0.2484
54	0.0536	-0.1535	0.0128	1.2645	0.1054	0.3246
55	0.0643	-0.066	0.0055	0.1859	0.0155	0.1245
56	0.0687	-0.053	0.0044	0.1203	0.01	0.1001
57	0.0719	-0.0483	0.004	0.1023	0.0085	0.0924
58	0.068	-0.1656	0.0138	1.417	0.1181	0.3436
59	0.0691	-0.1428	0.0119	1.0659	0.0888	0.298
60	0.0701	-0.1346	0.0112	0.9608	0.0801	0.283