Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	50556	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	18387	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	27534	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	38030	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	31917	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	26414	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	35306	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	38271	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	41454	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	52408	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	53536	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	53152	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	56421	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	21538	26451.4889	18169.0787	34733.8991	0.1225	0	0.9718	0
50	33625	33245.7405	24363.7911	42127.6899	0.4667	0.9951	0.8962	0
51	42625	44672.0891	35228.587	54115.5913	0.3355	0.9891	0.916	0.0074
52	31295	37645.7811	27672.2942	47619.2679	0.106	0.1639	0.8699	1e-04
53	33795	32125.7005	21649.0051	42602.3959	0.3774	0.5618	0.8574	0
54	41227	40110.5713	29153.7536	51067.389	0.4209	0.8707	0.805	0.0018
55	45382	43694.5915	32277.8248	55111.3581	0.386	0.6641	0.8241	0.0145
56	47206	44369.4112	32510.5214	56228.301	0.3196	0.4335	0.685	0.0232
57	46235	53167.1948	40882.0829	65452.3068	0.1344	0.8292	0.5482	0.3018
58	51378	55711.2856	43014.2512	68408.32	0.2518	0.9282	0.6315	0.4564
59	46865	53691.131	40595.1244	66787.1377	0.1535	0.6354	0.5322	0.3414
60	58608	58645.9535	45162.7752	72129.1317	0.4978	0.9566	0.6268	0.6268

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.1598	-0.1858	0.0155	24142373.0419	2011864.4202	1418.4021
50	0.1363	0.0114	0.001	143837.772	11986.481	109.4828
51	0.1079	-0.0458	0.0038	4190573.8582	349214.4882	590.9437
52	0.1352	-0.1687	0.0141	40332420.265	3361035.0221	1833.3126
53	0.1664	0.052	0.0043	2786560.8058	232213.4005	481.8853
54	0.1394	0.0278	0.0023	1246413.0826	103867.7569	322.2852
55	0.1333	0.0386	0.0032	2847347.5547	237278.9629	487.1129
56	0.1364	0.0639	0.0053	8046236.0077	670519.6673	818.8527
57	0.1179	-0.1304	0.0109	48055325.3261	4004610.4438	2001.1523
58	0.1163	-0.0778	0.0065	18777364.0373	1564780.3364	1250.9118
59	0.1244	-0.1271	0.0106	46596065.0044	3883005.417	1970.5343
60	0.1173	-6e-04	1e-04	1440.4647	120.0387	10.9562