Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[62])
50	120.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	120.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	120.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	128.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	129.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	129.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	128.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	128.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	133.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	125.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	129.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	129.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	130.6	128.8762	125.3117	132.4406	0.1716	0.3867	1	0.3867
64	130.6	129.185	123.895	134.475	0.3	0.3	0.9996	0.4683
65	130.6	133.0302	126.9166	139.1437	0.218	0.782	0.9312	0.8778
66	130.8	132.6916	125.7906	139.5926	0.2956	0.7238	0.7943	0.8251
67	129.7	131.1323	123.4163	138.8483	0.358	0.5336	0.6325	0.67
68	125.8	129.9877	121.5678	138.4077	0.1648	0.5267	0.6267	0.5544
69	126	130.9501	121.902	139.9982	0.1418	0.8677	0.6947	0.6315
70	125.6	132.3547	122.707	142.0024	0.085	0.9016	0.3923	0.7258
71	125.4	131.6339	121.4182	141.8496	0.1158	0.8765	0.623	0.6659
72	124.7	130.039	119.2891	140.7888	0.1652	0.8012	0.7748	0.5464
73	126.9	130.6109	119.3526	141.8693	0.2591	0.8483	0.5835	0.5835
74	129.1	130.6097	118.8637	142.3557	0.4006	0.732	0.58	0.58

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
63	0.0141	0.0134	0.0011	2.9716	0.2476	0.4976
64	0.0209	0.011	9e-04	2.0022	0.1669	0.4085
65	0.0234	-0.0183	0.0015	5.9057	0.4921	0.7015
66	0.0265	-0.0143	0.0012	3.5781	0.2982	0.5461
67	0.03	-0.0109	9e-04	2.0514	0.1709	0.4135
68	0.033	-0.0322	0.0027	17.5369	1.4614	1.2089
69	0.0353	-0.0378	0.0032	24.5035	2.042	1.429
70	0.0372	-0.051	0.0043	45.6265	3.8022	1.9499
71	0.0396	-0.0474	0.0039	38.8619	3.2385	1.7996
72	0.0422	-0.0411	0.0034	28.5044	2.3754	1.5412
73	0.044	-0.0284	0.0024	13.771	1.1476	1.0713
74	0.0459	-0.0116	0.001	2.2791	0.1899	0.4358