Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[60])
48	104.61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	102.93	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	106.95	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	123.45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	111.99	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	103.95	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	122.05	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	108.04	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	93.72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	119.61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	118.29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	117.14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	112.76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	105.97	106.9336	98.0521	115.8151	0.4158	0.0993	0.8115	0.0993
62	107.96	115.5874	106.6774	124.4973	0.0467	0.9828	0.9713	0.733
63	122.27	129.3015	120.1073	138.4956	0.0669	1	0.8939	0.9998
64	114.54	116.6541	106.238	127.0702	0.3454	0.1453	0.8099	0.7681
65	110.15	110.1921	99.6927	120.6916	0.4969	0.2085	0.878	0.3158
66	120.02	126.7	115.9109	137.489	0.1125	0.9987	0.8009	0.9943
67	103.94	112.3488	101.1429	123.5547	0.0707	0.0898	0.7745	0.4713
68	96.18	98.4112	87.1006	109.7217	0.3495	0.169	0.7919	0.0065
69	121.01	123.4336	111.9215	134.9458	0.3399	1	0.7425	0.9654
70	110.55	121.9651	110.2628	133.6673	0.0279	0.5635	0.7309	0.9384
71	120.04	120.7824	108.9862	132.5787	0.4509	0.9555	0.7275	0.9087
72	114.19	115.9197	103.9962	127.8433	0.3881	0.2491	0.6983	0.6983

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
61	0.0424	-0.009	8e-04	0.9286	0.0774	0.2782
62	0.0393	-0.066	0.0055	58.1767	4.8481	2.2018
63	0.0363	-0.0544	0.0045	49.4415	4.1201	2.0298
64	0.0456	-0.0181	0.0015	4.4693	0.3724	0.6103
65	0.0486	-4e-04	0	0.0018	1e-04	0.0122
66	0.0434	-0.0527	0.0044	44.6223	3.7185	1.9283
67	0.0509	-0.0748	0.0062	70.7085	5.8924	2.4274
68	0.0586	-0.0227	0.0019	4.9781	0.4148	0.6441
69	0.0476	-0.0196	0.0016	5.8739	0.4895	0.6996
70	0.049	-0.0936	0.0078	130.3035	10.8586	3.2952
71	0.0498	-0.0061	5e-04	0.5512	0.0459	0.2143
72	0.0525	-0.0149	0.0012	2.992	0.2493	0.4993