ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection
Iterationar1ar2ar3ma1sar1sar2sma1
Estimates ( 1 )-0.02120.0271-0.16970.4583-0.90210.09130.9553
(p-val)(0.973 )(0.9264 )(0.2866 )(0.4687 )(0 )(0.5728 )(0.0014 )
Estimates ( 2 )00.0182-0.16610.4373-0.89850.09220.947
(p-val)(NA )(0.8886 )(0.1689 )(5e-04 )(0 )(0.564 )(0 )
Estimates ( 3 )00-0.16510.4305-0.89530.09490.9456
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(0.1711 )(2e-04 )(0 )(0.5501 )(0 )
Estimates ( 4 )00-0.16110.4266-0.992800.9599
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(0.1804 )(2e-04 )(0 )(NA )(0 )
Estimates ( 5 )0000.4054-0.992800.9575
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(1e-04 )(0 )(NA )(0 )
Estimates ( 6 )NANANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 7 )NANANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 8 )NANANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 9 )NANANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 10 )NANANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 11 )NANANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 12 )NANANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 13 )NANANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )


Estimated ARIMA Residuals
Value
0.00100272445266748
-0.00531120843403321
-0.00160670313149728
-0.00306488313535133
-0.00803710085667696
0.0116687690362453
-0.00745717848367195
-0.00551464310716663
-0.00301725650973698
-0.00265538914320849
0.000306728384571635
0.0075987549179324
0.00445194432991487
-0.0058296587312323
0.000982781535359412
-0.00313253902013213
-0.00397005120366535
-0.00246069925655387
0.00185499672635466
0.00627293228111077
-0.0017217954180674
-0.000519142864817221
-0.00230494899731307
0.00293083213229330
-0.00238908852376483
-0.00224415774998236
0.00259812321786928
0.000878201262986629
0.00621659952273346
0.00421987293302348
0.00618162834324482
-0.00290199305151623
0.00371877100963804
-3.60821546568117e-05
0.00348298608132106
0.00133866556853159
0.00665288338318275
0.000111743345575739
0.000998880058515596
0.00167840745946443
0.0129146683138955
-0.00222259983102459
-0.00365169923952445
-0.00199967560083012
0.00215474024993839
0.00631630747962925
-0.00284045165547603
0.0120840180703705
0.00319740164685391
-7.54879809943433e-05
-0.00450594778697379
-0.00171814939538761
0.00215427603205338
-0.00124876423753576
0.00120948143379928
-0.000715671959212908
0.00186962467066314
0.00478917698614024
0.00544201840044105
0.00440669161548717
-0.0066913140981594
0.00185962737832093
0.00270735009212802
-0.00645658464865513
-0.0022960217901582
-0.0057826470658781
0.00039592269082797
0.00222812480926810
-0.00334769418097854
-0.00330736568486717
-0.00091314145482088
0.00191150673411000