Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	75.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	99.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	88.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	94.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	98.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	84.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	87.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	103.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	88.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	93.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	106.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	73.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	78.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	101.6	97.9793	85.6757	110.283	0.282	0.999	0.4229	0.999
50	101.4	91.3887	78.947	103.8304	0.0574	0.0538	0.6641	0.978
51	98.5	91.8934	79.4314	104.3553	0.1494	0.0674	0.3352	0.9817
52	99	97.2057	84.1652	110.2461	0.3937	0.4229	0.4111	0.9974
53	89.5	80.0966	67.0039	93.1893	0.0796	0.0023	0.2695	0.5886
54	83.5	83.7807	70.6773	96.8842	0.4833	0.1961	0.2789	0.7808
55	97.4	96.7479	83.5824	109.9134	0.4613	0.9757	0.1647	0.9966
56	87.8	86.0107	72.8332	99.1882	0.3951	0.0451	0.3724	0.8648
57	90.4	88.3385	75.1584	101.5186	0.3796	0.5319	0.2258	0.9262
58	97.1	100.0041	86.8239	113.1843	0.3329	0.9234	0.1746	0.9993
59	79.4	77.2365	64.0544	90.4185	0.3738	0.0016	0.7307	0.4197
60	85	75.0456	61.8647	88.2266	0.0694	0.2587	0.2986	0.2986

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0641	0.037	0.0031	13.1091	1.0924	1.0452
50	0.0695	0.1095	0.0091	100.2255	8.3521	2.89
51	0.0692	0.0719	0.006	43.6478	3.6373	1.9072
52	0.0684	0.0185	0.0015	3.2196	0.2683	0.518
53	0.0834	0.1174	0.0098	88.4236	7.3686	2.7145
54	0.0798	-0.0034	3e-04	0.0788	0.0066	0.081
55	0.0694	0.0067	6e-04	0.4252	0.0354	0.1882
56	0.0782	0.0208	0.0017	3.2015	0.2668	0.5165
57	0.0761	0.0233	0.0019	4.2498	0.3542	0.5951
58	0.0672	-0.029	0.0024	8.4337	0.7028	0.8383
59	0.0871	0.028	0.0023	4.6808	0.3901	0.6246
60	0.0896	0.1326	0.0111	99.0892	8.2574	2.8736