| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.4075 | 0.1306 | 0.842 | 0.9998 |
| (p-val) | (0.0022 ) | (0.5743 ) | (7e-04 ) | (0.1025 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.3965 | 0 | 0.9731 | 1 |
| (p-val) | (0.0025 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 1587.35868308939 |
| 1005.60167623220 |
| 1538.06420404763 |
| 1094.79516799656 |
| 1570.98015993861 |
| 1191.48493972855 |
| 1070.55426978693 |
| 1481.73192097534 |
| 1146.80967090567 |
| 1194.33312397666 |
| 1955.51711942527 |
| 1268.72698138754 |
| 1768.25544330390 |
| 3946.01046512666 |
| -3455.59447689106 |
| 1608.32987279842 |
| 1262.80045827554 |
| -320.862504089506 |
| 1037.56366487935 |
| 3318.72474314227 |
| -674.941446655684 |
| 1754.42480731815 |
| 581.614218563289 |
| -919.768859759633 |
| 1943.53470240451 |
| 735.579463724176 |
| 1629.49163427579 |
| -270.494417355365 |
| 49.8373590519009 |
| 943.985148799792 |
| 1296.82466653276 |
| -1869.81394127636 |
| -1091.90710585421 |
| 285.734042327594 |
| -233.095015459593 |
| -541.610639071217 |
| 488.775570223078 |
| -2759.86322224311 |
| 1506.66782823725 |
| 974.649688573155 |
| 2540.87066921619 |
| -1398.7968251499 |
| 2484.35886541710 |
| 420.753297996888 |
| 933.135181679337 |
| 971.313399420422 |
| 87.8899041900164 |
| 3127.38602308454 |
| 345.676897901739 |
| 876.884613326442 |
| 1058.34100447531 |
| -94.7803110852587 |
| -283.112566922446 |
| 999.461693383476 |
| -748.732983082293 |
| 880.636537356546 |
| 1722.25117375377 |
| -603.283667899341 |
| -1433.09044739980 |
| 86.6467919470443 |
