Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	123.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	124.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	117.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	117.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	137.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	114.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	124.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	129.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	109.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	120.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	134.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	136.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	133.2	128.0591	115.0173	139.8903	0.1972	0.0861	0.7054	0.0861
50	127.2	125.8172	112.2981	138.0184	0.4121	0.1178	0.7301	0.0461
51	122.7	122.45	108.2905	135.1339	0.4846	0.2315	0.7824	0.0162
52	120.5	124.3045	110.1692	136.989	0.2783	0.5979	0.8388	0.0319
53	137.8	137.8296	125.045	149.5251	0.498	0.9982	0.5287	0.6012
54	119.1	121.2	106.2218	134.5206	0.3787	0.0073	0.8343	0.0131
55	124.3	128.3107	114.0721	141.12	0.2697	0.9206	0.7097	0.1108
56	134.4	132.77	118.8804	145.3383	0.3997	0.9067	0.6895	0.291
57	121.1	119.7363	103.9135	133.6995	0.4241	0.0198	0.9266	0.01
58	121	126.4659	111.4096	139.9112	0.2128	0.783	0.7914	0.0758
59	127	135.0084	120.8454	147.8206	0.1103	0.9839	0.5066	0.4217
60	133.4	136.3999	122.2284	149.2316	0.3234	0.9245	0.5061	0.5061

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0471	0.0401	0.0033	26.429	2.2024	1.4841
50	0.0495	0.011	9e-04	1.912	0.1593	0.3992
51	0.0528	0.002	2e-04	0.0625	0.0052	0.0722
52	0.0521	-0.0306	0.0026	14.4745	1.2062	1.0983
53	0.0433	-2e-04	0	9e-04	1e-04	0.0086
54	0.0561	-0.0173	0.0014	4.4099	0.3675	0.6062
55	0.0509	-0.0313	0.0026	16.086	1.3405	1.1578
56	0.0483	0.0123	0.001	2.6568	0.2214	0.4705
57	0.0595	0.0114	9e-04	1.8596	0.155	0.3937
58	0.0542	-0.0432	0.0036	29.8761	2.4897	1.5779
59	0.0484	-0.0593	0.0049	64.1346	5.3446	2.3118
60	0.048	-0.022	0.0018	8.9994	0.7499	0.866