Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	77	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	85.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	77.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	69.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	75.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	85.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	72.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	79.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	85.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	52.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	61.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	82.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	85.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	78.2	84.2773	73.2845	101.2697	0.2417	0.4485	0.453	0.4485
50	70.2	77.4404	68.4875	90.4675	0.138	0.4545	0.4904	0.1155
51	70.2	71.631	63.908	82.5326	0.3985	0.6015	0.669	0.0067
52	69.3	75.1019	65.7751	89.1496	0.2091	0.753	0.4779	0.0754
53	77.5	86.9825	73.683	109.6933	0.2066	0.9365	0.5441	0.5543
54	66.1	73.2971	64.23	86.9265	0.1503	0.2728	0.5627	0.0409
55	69	80.0214	68.6338	98.5514	0.1219	0.9296	0.5051	0.2847
56	79.2	86.4403	72.6935	110.6088	0.2785	0.9214	0.5368	0.5336
57	56.2	52.4182	48.317	57.6189	0.077	0	0.5328	0
58	64.5	61.376	55.2479	69.7701	0.2329	0.8866	0.5164	0
59	77.4	83.1184	70.2874	105.1812	0.3057	0.9509	0.5254	0.4197
60	88.5	85.9187	71.9705	110.8389	0.4196	0.7486	0.5163	0.5163

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.1029	-0.0721	0.006	36.9339	3.0778	1.7544
50	0.0858	-0.0935	0.0078	52.424	4.3687	2.0901
51	0.0776	-0.02	0.0017	2.0479	0.1707	0.4131
52	0.0954	-0.0773	0.0064	33.6618	2.8051	1.6749
53	0.1332	-0.109	0.0091	89.9171	7.4931	2.7374
54	0.0949	-0.0982	0.0082	51.7982	4.3165	2.0776
55	0.1181	-0.1377	0.0115	121.4715	10.1226	3.1816
56	0.1427	-0.0838	0.007	52.4223	4.3685	2.0901
57	0.0506	0.0721	0.006	14.3018	1.1918	1.0917
58	0.0698	0.0509	0.0042	9.7591	0.8133	0.9018
59	0.1354	-0.0688	0.0057	32.6998	2.725	1.6508
60	0.148	0.03	0.0025	6.6633	0.5553	0.7452