Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
47	122.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	123.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	124.3	117.3601	93.9014	142.8653	0.2969	0.324	0.324	0.324
50	120	124.328	98.421	152.6006	0.3821	0.5008	0.5008	0.5284
51	118.1	112.7047	87.326	140.6081	0.3524	0.3042	0.3042	0.2284
52	119	104.9947	80.0514	132.5719	0.1598	0.1758	0.1758	0.0966
53	142.7	113.6974	87.8744	142.1139	0.0227	0.3573	0.3573	0.2539
54	123.6	113.4792	87.428	142.1782	0.2447	0.023	0.023	0.2512
55	129.6	112.5088	85.4513	142.4626	0.1317	0.234	0.234	0.2401
56	151.6	118.5252	90.2175	149.8398	0.0192	0.2441	0.2441	0.3825
57	110.4	115.8758	87.8179	146.9602	0.3649	0.0121	0.0121	0.3198
58	99.3	112.0677	83.8935	143.4119	0.2123	0.5415	0.5415	0.2412
59	129.1	114.586	86.0031	146.3567	0.1853	0.8272	0.8272	0.2954
60	134.1	113.5092	85.0422	145.1704	0.1012	0.1672	0.1672	0.2722

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.1109	0.0591	0.0049	48.1618	4.0135	2.0034
50	0.116	-0.0348	0.0029	18.7316	1.561	1.2494
51	0.1263	0.0479	0.004	29.1089	2.4257	1.5575
52	0.134	0.1334	0.0111	196.1477	16.3456	4.043
53	0.1275	0.2551	0.0213	841.1495	70.0958	8.3723
54	0.129	0.0892	0.0074	102.43	8.5358	2.9216
55	0.1358	0.1519	0.0127	292.1103	24.3425	4.9338
56	0.1348	0.2791	0.0233	1093.9403	91.1617	9.5479
57	0.1369	-0.0473	0.0039	29.9847	2.4987	1.5807
58	0.1427	-0.1139	0.0095	163.0148	13.5846	3.6857
59	0.1415	0.1267	0.0106	210.6563	17.5547	4.1898
60	0.1423	0.1814	0.0151	423.9792	35.3316	5.944