Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[37])
25	578	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	565	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	547	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	555	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	562	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	561	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	555	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	544	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	537	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	543	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	594	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	611	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	613	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	611	604.245	593.6839	614.806	0.105	0.0521	1	0.0521
39	594	583.7834	568.3088	599.258	0.0978	3e-04	1	1e-04
40	595	587.122	568.4827	605.7613	0.2037	0.2348	0.9996	0.0033
41	591	593.3635	572.4271	614.2999	0.4124	0.4391	0.9983	0.033
42	589	592.0474	569.1582	614.9366	0.3971	0.5357	0.9961	0.0364
43	584	586.0743	561.3824	610.7662	0.4346	0.4082	0.9932	0.0163
44	573	579.0732	552.6794	605.467	0.326	0.3572	0.9954	0.0059
45	567	572.0463	544.0417	600.0509	0.362	0.4734	0.9929	0.0021
46	569	576.3707	546.8323	605.909	0.3124	0.733	0.9866	0.0075
47	621	634.4864	603.4677	665.5051	0.1971	1	0.9947	0.9127
48	629	646.8507	614.3971	679.3043	0.1405	0.9408	0.9848	0.9795
49	628	646.6163	612.807	680.4256	0.1402	0.8464	0.9743	0.9743

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
38	0.0089	0.0112	9e-04	45.6301	3.8025	1.95
39	0.0135	0.0175	0.0015	104.379	8.6983	2.9493
40	0.0162	0.0134	0.0011	62.0627	5.1719	2.2742
41	0.018	-0.004	3e-04	5.586	0.4655	0.6823
42	0.0197	-0.0051	4e-04	9.2868	0.7739	0.8797
43	0.0215	-0.0035	3e-04	4.3026	0.3585	0.5988
44	0.0233	-0.0105	9e-04	36.8838	3.0737	1.7532
45	0.025	-0.0088	7e-04	25.4652	2.1221	1.4567
46	0.0261	-0.0128	0.0011	54.3266	4.5272	2.1277
47	0.0249	-0.0213	0.0018	181.8829	15.1569	3.8932
48	0.0256	-0.0276	0.0023	318.6472	26.5539	5.1531
49	0.0267	-0.0288	0.0024	346.5661	28.8805	5.3741