Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[68])
56	88.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	115.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	104.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	113.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	112.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	100.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	107.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	126.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	102.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	117.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	128.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	87.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	93.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	122.7	118.1292	104.0228	138.9684	0.3336	0.9889	0.583	0.9889
70	126.2	120.2821	105.2947	142.8941	0.304	0.417	0.9183	0.9891
71	124.6	116.648	102.0285	138.7711	0.2406	0.1987	0.6132	0.9785
72	116.7	110.2037	96.1124	131.7527	0.2773	0.0952	0.428	0.9322
73	115.2	101.7673	90.0819	118.7174	0.0602	0.0421	0.5445	0.8215
74	111.1	106.6783	93.0613	127.4827	0.3385	0.211	0.4766	0.8875
75	129.9	123.3379	103.5548	158.3494	0.3567	0.7534	0.4275	0.9509
76	113.3	109.373	94.3124	133.3881	0.3743	0.0469	0.7014	0.8981
77	118.5	109.0729	93.7958	133.6865	0.2264	0.3682	0.2411	0.888
78	133.5	124.7814	103.5434	164.2488	0.3325	0.6225	0.4209	0.938
79	102.1	88.0664	78.769	101.0787	0.0173	0	0.534	0.1939
80	102.4	88.8367	79.2306	102.4126	0.0251	0.0278	0.2368	0.2368

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
69	0.09	0.0387	0.0032	20.8923	1.741	1.3195
70	0.0959	0.0492	0.0041	35.0214	2.9185	1.7083
71	0.0968	0.0682	0.0057	63.2337	5.2695	2.2955
72	0.0998	0.0589	0.0049	42.2016	3.5168	1.8753
73	0.085	0.132	0.011	180.4385	15.0365	3.8777
74	0.0995	0.0414	0.0035	19.5513	1.6293	1.2764
75	0.1448	0.0532	0.0044	43.0607	3.5884	1.8943
76	0.112	0.0359	0.003	15.4214	1.2851	1.1336
77	0.1151	0.0864	0.0072	88.87	7.4058	2.7214
78	0.1614	0.0699	0.0058	76.0139	6.3345	2.5168
79	0.0754	0.1594	0.0133	196.9412	16.4118	4.0511
80	0.078	0.1527	0.0127	183.9643	15.3304	3.9154