Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[68])
56	64.14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	62.85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	58.75	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	55.33	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	57.03	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	63.18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	60.19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	62.12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	70.12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	69.75	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	68.56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	73.77	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	73.23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	61.96	72.2241	63.5857	81.5309	0.0153	0.4161	0.9758	0.4161
70	57.81	71.6275	59.769	84.7959	0.0199	0.9249	0.9724	0.4057
71	58.76	71.4335	57.9249	86.6748	0.0516	0.9601	0.9808	0.4086
72	62.47	71.7718	56.88	88.7868	0.142	0.933	0.9553	0.4333
73	53.68	72.4939	56.2093	91.3233	0.0251	0.8516	0.8339	0.4695
74	57.56	72.0613	54.6297	92.4636	0.0818	0.9613	0.873	0.4553
75	62.05	72.1851	53.6305	94.1378	0.1828	0.9042	0.8156	0.4628
76	67.49	73.2503	53.4941	96.8395	0.3161	0.824	0.6026	0.5007
77	67.21	73.2849	52.5607	98.2672	0.3168	0.6753	0.6092	0.5017
78	71.05	73.0064	51.4285	99.2639	0.4419	0.6674	0.63	0.4933
79	76.93	73.619	51.065	101.2863	0.4073	0.5722	0.4957	0.511
80	70.76	73.4536	50.1167	102.327	0.4275	0.4067	0.5061	0.5061

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
69	0.0657	-0.1421	0.0118	105.3527	8.7794	2.963
70	0.0938	-0.1929	0.0161	190.9226	15.9102	3.9888
71	0.1089	-0.1774	0.0148	160.6181	13.3848	3.6585
72	0.121	-0.1296	0.0108	86.5233	7.2103	2.6852
73	0.1325	-0.2595	0.0216	353.9619	29.4968	5.4311
74	0.1445	-0.2012	0.0168	210.2882	17.524	4.1862
75	0.1552	-0.1404	0.0117	102.7204	8.56	2.9258
76	0.1643	-0.0786	0.0066	33.1815	2.7651	1.6629
77	0.1739	-0.0829	0.0069	36.9049	3.0754	1.7537
78	0.1835	-0.0268	0.0022	3.8274	0.319	0.5648
79	0.1917	0.045	0.0037	10.9625	0.9135	0.9558
80	0.2006	-0.0367	0.0031	7.2557	0.6046	0.7776