Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[68])
56	1.2292	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	1.2256	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	1.2015	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	1.1786	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	1.1856	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	1.2103	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	1.1938	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	1.202	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	1.2271	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	1.277	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	1.265	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	1.2684	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	1.2811	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	1.2727	1.2853	1.2433	1.3261	0.2715	0.5808	0.998	0.5808
70	1.2611	1.284	1.2104	1.3536	0.2594	0.625	0.9899	0.5326
71	1.2881	1.2822	1.1877	1.3702	0.4475	0.6806	0.9895	0.5095
72	1.3213	1.2818	1.1727	1.3824	0.2209	0.4514	0.9696	0.5057
73	1.2999	1.2824	1.161	1.3932	0.3785	0.2458	0.8989	0.5092
74	1.3074	1.2823	1.1495	1.4026	0.3413	0.3872	0.9253	0.5078
75	1.3242	1.2825	1.1387	1.4116	0.2633	0.3526	0.889	0.5083
76	1.3516	1.2829	1.1289	1.4203	0.1636	0.2779	0.7869	0.5102
77	1.3511	1.2838	1.1201	1.4288	0.1815	0.1797	0.5364	0.5143
78	1.3419	1.2836	1.1105	1.4359	0.2265	0.1925	0.5944	0.5126
79	1.3716	1.2836	1.1016	1.4429	0.1394	0.2366	0.5743	0.5124
80	1.3622	1.2838	1.0932	1.4496	0.1771	0.1497	0.513	0.513

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
69	0.0162	-0.0098	8e-04	2e-04	0	0.0036
70	0.0276	-0.0178	0.0015	5e-04	0	0.0066
71	0.035	0.0046	4e-04	0	0	0.0017
72	0.04	0.0308	0.0026	0.0016	1e-04	0.0114
73	0.0441	0.0136	0.0011	3e-04	0	0.005
74	0.0479	0.0196	0.0016	6e-04	1e-04	0.0072
75	0.0514	0.0325	0.0027	0.0017	1e-04	0.012
76	0.0547	0.0536	0.0045	0.0047	4e-04	0.0198
77	0.0577	0.0525	0.0044	0.0045	4e-04	0.0194
78	0.0606	0.0455	0.0038	0.0034	3e-04	0.0168
79	0.0633	0.0685	0.0057	0.0077	6e-04	0.0254
80	0.0659	0.061	0.0051	0.0061	5e-04	0.0226