Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[68])
56	1.06	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	1.08	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	1.09	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	1.04	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	1.01	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	1.02	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	1.04	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	1.06	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	1.06	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	1.06	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	1.06	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	1.06	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	1.02	1.06	1.0082	1.1129	0.069	0.5003	0.2295	0.5003
70	0.98	1.06	0.9767	1.1461	0.0342	0.819	0.2474	0.5002
71	0.99	1.06	0.9545	1.17	0.1059	0.9232	0.6394	0.5002
72	0.99	1.06	0.9364	1.1897	0.145	0.855	0.8178	0.5001
73	0.94	1.06	0.9208	1.207	0.0547	0.8248	0.7477	0.5001
74	0.96	1.06	0.9069	1.2225	0.1138	0.9261	0.6853	0.5001
75	0.98	1.06	0.8943	1.2368	0.1875	0.8662	0.5878	0.5001
76	1.01	1.06	0.8827	1.2501	0.303	0.7953	0.5001	0.5001
77	1.01	1.06	0.8718	1.2627	0.3142	0.6858	0.5001	0.5001
78	1.02	1.06	0.8616	1.2745	0.3573	0.6762	0.5001	0.5001
79	1.04	1.06	0.852	1.2858	0.431	0.6359	0.5001	0.5001
80	1.03	1.06	0.8429	1.2966	0.4018	0.5659	0.5001	0.5001

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
69	0.0255	-0.0378	0.0031	0.0016	1e-04	0.0116
70	0.0414	-0.0755	0.0063	0.0064	5e-04	0.0231
71	0.0529	-0.0661	0.0055	0.0049	4e-04	0.0202
72	0.0624	-0.0661	0.0055	0.0049	4e-04	0.0202
73	0.0707	-0.1132	0.0094	0.0144	0.0012	0.0346
74	0.0782	-0.0944	0.0079	0.01	8e-04	0.0289
75	0.0851	-0.0755	0.0063	0.0064	5e-04	0.0231
76	0.0915	-0.0472	0.0039	0.0025	2e-04	0.0144
77	0.0975	-0.0472	0.0039	0.0025	2e-04	0.0144
78	0.1032	-0.0378	0.0031	0.0016	1e-04	0.0116
79	0.1087	-0.0189	0.0016	4e-04	0	0.0058
80	0.1139	-0.0283	0.0024	9e-04	1e-04	0.0087