Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[68])
56	1.31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	1.37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	1.35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	1.26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	1.26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	1.28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	1.28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	1.27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	1.35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	1.37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	1.37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	1.28	1.4179	1.3483	1.49	1e-04	0.687	0.9037	0.687
70	1.23	1.4153	1.3066	1.5302	8e-04	0.9895	0.8674	0.603
71	1.23	1.3901	1.2628	1.5261	0.0105	0.9895	0.9696	0.4432
72	1.25	1.384	1.2367	1.5431	0.0494	0.9711	0.9367	0.4218
73	1.21	1.3884	1.2247	1.5668	0.025	0.9358	0.8831	0.4491
74	1.22	1.3931	1.2139	1.5902	0.0425	0.9658	0.8698	0.4728
75	1.29	1.3925	1.1998	1.6059	0.1733	0.9434	0.8697	0.4725
76	1.32	1.4195	1.2113	1.6515	0.2004	0.8629	0.7213	0.5653
77	1.36	1.4236	1.203	1.671	0.3072	0.7941	0.6644	0.5741
78	1.36	1.4263	1.1943	1.6883	0.3098	0.6902	0.6633	0.5781
79	1.37	1.4392	1.195	1.7164	0.3123	0.7123	0.6092	0.6092
80	1.32	1.441	1.1864	1.7316	0.2073	0.6839	0.6089	0.6089

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
69	0.0259	-0.0973	0.0081	0.019	0.0016	0.0398
70	0.0414	-0.1309	0.0109	0.0343	0.0029	0.0535
71	0.0499	-0.1152	0.0096	0.0256	0.0021	0.0462
72	0.0587	-0.0968	0.0081	0.018	0.0015	0.0387
73	0.0656	-0.1285	0.0107	0.0318	0.0027	0.0515
74	0.0722	-0.1243	0.0104	0.03	0.0025	0.05
75	0.0782	-0.0736	0.0061	0.0105	9e-04	0.0296
76	0.0834	-0.0701	0.0058	0.0099	8e-04	0.0287
77	0.0887	-0.0447	0.0037	0.004	3e-04	0.0184
78	0.0937	-0.0465	0.0039	0.0044	4e-04	0.0192
79	0.0983	-0.0481	0.004	0.0048	4e-04	0.02
80	0.1029	-0.084	0.007	0.0146	0.0012	0.0349