Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[68])
56	1.06	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	1.08	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	1.09	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	1.04	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	1.01	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	1.02	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	1.04	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	1.06	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	1.06	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	1.06	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	1.06	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	1.06	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	1.02	1.0581	1.0045	1.1137	0.0893	0.4737	0.2202	0.4737
70	0.98	1.066	0.9793	1.1579	0.0334	0.8365	0.3042	0.5507
71	0.99	1.0659	0.9585	1.1814	0.0989	0.9275	0.6699	0.5399
72	0.99	1.0666	0.9448	1.1991	0.1285	0.8715	0.8379	0.539
73	0.94	1.0582	0.9253	1.204	0.056	0.8205	0.7416	0.4905
74	0.96	1.0615	0.9175	1.2206	0.1056	0.9328	0.6954	0.5074
75	0.98	1.0699	0.915	1.2423	0.1532	0.8944	0.6333	0.545
76	1.01	1.0781	0.9129	1.2633	0.2354	0.8506	0.5762	0.5762
77	1.01	1.0763	0.9023	1.2725	0.2538	0.7462	0.5647	0.5647
78	1.02	1.0872	0.9035	1.2955	0.2637	0.7661	0.6009	0.6009
79	1.04	1.0925	0.9001	1.3119	0.3196	0.7413	0.6141	0.6141
80	1.03	1.0925	0.8925	1.3219	0.2967	0.673	0.6093	0.6093

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
69	0.0268	-0.036	0.003	0.0015	1e-04	0.011
70	0.044	-0.0807	0.0067	0.0074	6e-04	0.0248
71	0.0553	-0.0712	0.0059	0.0058	5e-04	0.0219
72	0.0634	-0.0718	0.006	0.0059	5e-04	0.0221
73	0.0703	-0.1117	0.0093	0.014	0.0012	0.0341
74	0.0765	-0.0956	0.008	0.0103	9e-04	0.0293
75	0.0822	-0.0841	0.007	0.0081	7e-04	0.026
76	0.0876	-0.0632	0.0053	0.0046	4e-04	0.0197
77	0.093	-0.0616	0.0051	0.0044	4e-04	0.0191
78	0.0978	-0.0618	0.0051	0.0045	4e-04	0.0194
79	0.1025	-0.048	0.004	0.0028	2e-04	0.0151
80	0.1071	-0.0572	0.0048	0.0039	3e-04	0.018