Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[68])
56	64.14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	62.85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	58.75	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	55.33	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	57.03	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	63.18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	60.19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	62.12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	70.12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	69.75	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	68.56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	73.77	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	73.23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	61.96	72.4253	63.3276	82.4008	0.0199	0.4372	0.97	0.4372
70	57.81	73.2902	60.7293	87.5656	0.0168	0.9401	0.9771	0.5033
71	58.76	71.813	57.7395	88.1278	0.0584	0.9537	0.9762	0.4324
72	62.47	71.3485	56.0019	89.421	0.1678	0.9139	0.9398	0.4192
73	53.68	73.0827	56.1619	93.2846	0.0299	0.8484	0.8317	0.4943
74	57.56	72.8302	54.7346	94.7471	0.086	0.9566	0.8708	0.4857
75	62.05	74.479	54.9546	98.4063	0.1543	0.9171	0.8443	0.5407
76	67.49	75.3667	54.6215	101.0818	0.2741	0.8449	0.6554	0.5647
77	67.21	74.6957	53.1117	101.7759	0.294	0.699	0.6398	0.5422
78	71.05	75.6254	52.9189	104.4027	0.3777	0.7167	0.6848	0.5648
79	76.93	76.7295	52.8949	107.2208	0.4949	0.6425	0.5754	0.589
80	70.76	77.6846	52.7845	109.8279	0.3364	0.5184	0.607	0.607

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
69	0.0703	-0.1445	0.012	109.5235	9.127	3.0211
70	0.0994	-0.2112	0.0176	239.6374	19.9698	4.4688
71	0.1159	-0.1818	0.0151	170.3798	14.1983	3.7681
72	0.1292	-0.1244	0.0104	78.8281	6.569	2.563
73	0.141	-0.2655	0.0221	376.4664	31.3722	5.6011
74	0.1535	-0.2097	0.0175	233.1803	19.4317	4.4081
75	0.1639	-0.1669	0.0139	154.481	12.8734	3.588
76	0.1741	-0.1045	0.0087	62.0421	5.1702	2.2738
77	0.185	-0.1002	0.0084	56.0356	4.6696	2.1609
78	0.1941	-0.0605	0.005	20.9345	1.7445	1.3208
79	0.2027	0.0026	2e-04	0.0402	0.0034	0.0579
80	0.2111	-0.0891	0.0074	47.9504	3.9959	1.999