Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[81])
69	115.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
70	113.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
71	114.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
72	118.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	117	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
74	116.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
75	115.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
76	113.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
77	117.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
78	116.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
79	116.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
80	111.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
81	110.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	118.9	109.7374	100.2475	119.2274	0.0292	0.4619	0.2125	0.4619
83	131.8	109.943	96.5222	123.3638	7e-04	0.0954	0.2576	0.485
84	130.6	110.971	94.5339	127.408	0.0096	0.0065	0.1878	0.5366
85	138.3	110.6112	91.6313	129.5911	0.0021	0.0195	0.2547	0.5169
86	148.4	110.4827	89.2625	131.7029	2e-04	0.0051	0.2892	0.5104
87	148.7	110.2	86.9545	133.4455	6e-04	6e-04	0.3305	0.5
88	144.3	109.7374	84.6294	134.8454	0.0035	0.0012	0.3815	0.4856
89	152.5	110.714	83.8724	137.5556	0.0011	0.0071	0.3127	0.515
90	162.9	110.5855	82.1157	139.0553	2e-04	0.002	0.3319	0.5106
91	167.2	110.457	80.4472	140.4668	1e-04	3e-04	0.349	0.5067
92	166.5	109.0949	77.6204	140.5695	2e-04	1e-04	0.4503	0.4726
93	166.5	108.8636	75.9895	141.7378	3e-04	3e-04	0.4682	0.4682

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
82	0.0441	0.0835	0.007	83.953	6.9961	2.645
83	0.0623	0.1988	0.0166	477.7281	39.8107	6.3096
84	0.0756	0.1769	0.0147	385.2986	32.1082	5.6664
85	0.0875	0.2503	0.0209	766.6704	63.8892	7.9931
86	0.098	0.3432	0.0286	1437.7223	119.8102	10.9458
87	0.1076	0.3494	0.0291	1482.25	123.5208	11.114
88	0.1167	0.315	0.0262	1194.5723	99.5477	9.9774
89	0.1237	0.3774	0.0315	1746.0712	145.5059	12.0626
90	0.1314	0.4731	0.0394	2736.8082	228.0674	15.1019
91	0.1386	0.5137	0.0428	3219.769	268.3141	16.3803
92	0.1472	0.5262	0.0438	3295.3413	274.6118	16.5714
93	0.1541	0.5294	0.0441	3321.9495	276.8291	16.6382