Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[55])
43	179	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	190.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	190	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	181.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	174.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	180.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	196.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	193.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	197	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	216.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	221.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	217.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	229.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	227.4	230.8171	208.7816	255.1783	0.3917	0.5358	0.9994	0.5358
57	204.2	230.7609	200.2335	265.9424	0.0695	0.5743	0.9884	0.5236
58	196.6	229.9561	193.2723	273.6026	0.0671	0.8763	0.9851	0.5046
59	198.8	229.279	187.5914	280.2307	0.1205	0.8956	0.9819	0.4935
60	207.5	229.8481	183.655	287.6598	0.2243	0.8537	0.9528	0.502
61	190.7	231.3887	180.9689	295.856	0.108	0.7662	0.8535	0.5205
62	201.6	231.1142	177.2296	301.3819	0.2052	0.8702	0.851	0.5157
63	210.5	231.4068	174.231	307.3455	0.2947	0.7791	0.8127	0.5176
64	223.5	233.0839	172.4985	314.9484	0.4093	0.7056	0.6561	0.5323
65	223.8	233.504	170.0184	320.6954	0.4137	0.589	0.6072	0.5341
66	231.2	233.2167	167.1996	325.2998	0.4829	0.5794	0.6278	0.5298
67	244	234.1689	165.4164	331.4972	0.4215	0.5238	0.5359	0.5359

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
56	0.0538	-0.0148	0.0012	11.6765	0.973	0.9864
57	0.0778	-0.1151	0.0096	705.4796	58.79	7.6675
58	0.0968	-0.1451	0.0121	1112.6275	92.719	9.6291
59	0.1134	-0.1329	0.0111	928.9697	77.4141	8.7985
60	0.1283	-0.0972	0.0081	499.4398	41.62	6.4514
61	0.1421	-0.1758	0.0147	1655.5677	137.964	11.7458
62	0.1551	-0.1277	0.0106	871.0882	72.5907	8.52
63	0.1674	-0.0903	0.0075	437.0954	36.4246	6.0353
64	0.1792	-0.0411	0.0034	91.8515	7.6543	2.7666
65	0.1905	-0.0416	0.0035	94.1674	7.8473	2.8013
66	0.2014	-0.0086	7e-04	4.067	0.3389	0.5822
67	0.2121	0.042	0.0035	96.6504	8.0542	2.838