Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	767	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	902.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	891.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	874	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	930.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	944.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	935.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	937.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	885.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	892.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	987.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	946.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	799.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	875.4	899.9516	728.9701	1070.9332	0.3892	0.875	0.4897	0.875
50	846.2	868.8799	683.1986	1054.5613	0.4054	0.4726	0.404	0.7677
51	880.6	872.8159	661.9087	1083.7232	0.4712	0.5977	0.4956	0.7519
52	885.7	880.504	647.3206	1113.6874	0.4826	0.4997	0.3359	0.7518
53	868.9	889.0389	637.4579	1140.6199	0.4377	0.5104	0.3337	0.757
54	882.5	882.0565	612.5806	1151.5324	0.4987	0.5381	0.3477	0.7257
55	789.6	872.6168	586.7748	1158.4587	0.2846	0.473	0.3292	0.6917
56	773.3	850.8762	549.7053	1152.0471	0.3068	0.655	0.4119	0.6307
57	804.3	843.5332	527.883	1159.1834	0.4038	0.6686	0.3808	0.6075
58	817.8	884.4772	555.1383	1213.816	0.3458	0.6834	0.2703	0.6933
59	836.7	867.6619	525.3043	1210.0196	0.4297	0.6124	0.3263	0.6516
60	721.8	807.2606	452.4844	1162.0368	0.3184	0.4354	0.5169	0.5169

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0969	-0.0273	0.0023	602.7833	50.2319	7.0874
50	0.109	-0.0261	0.0022	514.3799	42.865	6.5471
51	0.1233	0.0089	7e-04	60.5915	5.0493	2.2471
52	0.1351	0.0059	5e-04	26.9984	2.2499	1.5
53	0.1444	-0.0227	0.0019	405.5743	33.7979	5.8136
54	0.1559	5e-04	0	0.1967	0.0164	0.128
55	0.1671	-0.0951	0.0079	6891.7885	574.3157	23.9649
56	0.1806	-0.0912	0.0076	6018.0681	501.5057	22.3943
57	0.1909	-0.0465	0.0039	1539.2407	128.2701	11.3256
58	0.19	-0.0754	0.0063	4445.8429	370.4869	19.248
59	0.2013	-0.0357	0.003	958.6416	79.8868	8.9379
60	0.2242	-0.1059	0.0088	7303.5164	608.6264	24.6704