Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[60])
48	110.14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	110.14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	110.81	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	110.97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	110.99	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	109.73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	109.81	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	110.02	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	110.18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	110.21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	110.25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	110.36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	110.51	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	110.64	110.5207	110.1144	110.9271	0.2826	0.5206	0.9668	0.5206
62	110.95	110.9332	110.3646	111.5018	0.4769	0.8439	0.6644	0.9277
63	111.18	111.0133	110.3194	111.7072	0.3189	0.571	0.5487	0.9224
64	111.19	111.0075	110.2077	111.8073	0.3273	0.3362	0.5171	0.8886
65	111.69	110.7118	109.8186	111.605	0.0159	0.147	0.9844	0.6711
66	111.7	110.7688	109.791	111.7465	0.031	0.0324	0.9727	0.698
67	111.83	110.8578	109.8022	111.9133	0.0355	0.0589	0.9401	0.7408
68	111.77	111.1	109.972	112.228	0.1222	0.1023	0.945	0.8474
69	111.73	111.1117	109.9156	112.3077	0.1555	0.1403	0.9302	0.8379
70	112.01	111.1167	109.8563	112.3772	0.0824	0.1701	0.9111	0.8273
71	111.86	110.8819	109.5602	112.2036	0.0735	0.0472	0.7805	0.7093
72	112.04	110.9897	109.6094	112.37	0.0679	0.1083	0.7521	0.7521

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
61	0.0019	0.0011	1e-04	0.0142	0.0012	0.0344
62	0.0026	2e-04	0	3e-04	0	0.0049
63	0.0032	0.0015	1e-04	0.0278	0.0023	0.0481
64	0.0037	0.0016	1e-04	0.0333	0.0028	0.0527
65	0.0041	0.0088	7e-04	0.9568	0.0797	0.2824
66	0.0045	0.0084	7e-04	0.8672	0.0723	0.2688
67	0.0049	0.0088	7e-04	0.9452	0.0788	0.2807
68	0.0052	0.006	5e-04	0.4489	0.0374	0.1934
69	0.0055	0.0056	5e-04	0.3823	0.0319	0.1785
70	0.0058	0.008	7e-04	0.7979	0.0665	0.2579
71	0.0061	0.0088	7e-04	0.9567	0.0797	0.2824
72	0.0063	0.0095	8e-04	1.1031	0.0919	0.3032