| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.1787 | 0.2522 | 0.2912 | -0.9998 | -1.0966 | -0.0974 | 0.958 |
| (p-val) | (0.2565 ) | (0.0937 ) | (0.0874 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.6762 ) | (4e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.189 | 0.2558 | 0.2811 | -1.0001 | -0.9908 | 0 | 0.854 |
| (p-val) | (0.2279 ) | (0.0886 ) | (0.0979 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (1e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.1197 | 0.2001 | -0.7882 | -0.9893 | 0 | 0.8364 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.5342 ) | (0.2947 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.0022 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0.1667 | -0.7329 | -0.989 | 0 | 0.8399 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.345 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.0023 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6947 | -0.9889 | 0 | 0.8573 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (6e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -130.45709864009 |
| -3419.38152759832 |
| 736.786819744927 |
| -2496.95473299575 |
| -2263.95842326422 |
| -552.690715640517 |
| -3019.51261635116 |
| 334.270101278433 |
| 5257.86336409686 |
| 7238.98473691207 |
| 1339.64269549695 |
| -5622.96478632479 |
| 686.81388845831 |
| -5803.20852282771 |
| 4493.68853600987 |
| -1916.62169386525 |
| -2324.16900824339 |
| 2248.47671277158 |
| -6310.46843521626 |
| -1144.61868424052 |
| -4901.15398338905 |
| -3103.327216413 |
| 1225.6200363472 |
| 4839.63465264752 |
| -4570.28029277616 |
| 1335.94660833037 |
| -206.732141425032 |
| 3318.44577096099 |
| 1536.77512609761 |
| 4402.74611370282 |
| 30.1059003540817 |
| 4907.1299900482 |
| 2231.95575826251 |
| -3239.17729710604 |
| 4098.51861786614 |
| 6234.76929016697 |
| -1525.01338240217 |
| 1631.86443130497 |
| -1938.83883004590 |
| -4924.97289483606 |
| 3303.29241668103 |
| 1431.68425190638 |
| 3245.42201856955 |
| 1886.23303051468 |
| -4777.29387728419 |
| 670.77887339051 |
| -4895.38872458391 |
| 102.531737081036 |
