Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[55])
43	179	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	190.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	190	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	181.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	174.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	180.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	196.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	193.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	197	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	216.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	221.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	217.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	229.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	227.4	255.4958	223.1294	293.6628	0.0745	0.9074	0.9996	0.9074
57	204.2	253.0459	207.7526	310.7206	0.0485	0.8083	0.9839	0.7862
58	196.6	237.4239	191.4709	297.267	0.0906	0.8617	0.9663	0.5999
59	198.8	228.3285	181.5902	290.2711	0.1751	0.8423	0.9548	0.4827
60	207.5	237.6526	184.6599	309.9819	0.2069	0.8538	0.9393	0.5853
61	190.7	260.3948	197.1062	349.7023	0.0631	0.8772	0.9186	0.7497
62	201.6	255.5829	190.3004	349.6681	0.1304	0.9118	0.901	0.7051
63	210.5	259.9991	190.3659	362.5433	0.172	0.8678	0.8857	0.7187
64	223.5	287.2809	205.7434	410.832	0.1558	0.8884	0.8699	0.8195
65	223.8	294.4973	207.3178	429.5778	0.1525	0.8485	0.8556	0.8264
66	231.2	289.4702	201.0683	428.8559	0.2063	0.8221	0.8429	0.7997
67	234.4	306.0686	208.8265	463.0265	0.1854	0.8251	0.8299	0.8299

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
56	0.0762	-0.11	0.0092	789.3767	65.7814	8.1106
57	0.1163	-0.193	0.0161	2385.9235	198.827	14.1006
58	0.1286	-0.1719	0.0143	1666.5917	138.8826	11.7848
59	0.1384	-0.1293	0.0108	871.9332	72.6611	8.5241
60	0.1553	-0.1269	0.0106	909.1774	75.7648	8.7043
61	0.175	-0.2677	0.0223	4857.3686	404.7807	20.1192
62	0.1878	-0.2112	0.0176	2914.153	242.8461	15.5835
63	0.2012	-0.1904	0.0159	2450.1626	204.1802	14.2892
64	0.2194	-0.222	0.0185	4067.997	338.9997	18.4119
65	0.234	-0.2401	0.02	4998.1109	416.5092	20.4086
66	0.2457	-0.2013	0.0168	3395.4148	282.9512	16.8212
67	0.2616	-0.2342	0.0195	5136.3825	428.0319	20.6889