Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	95.81	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	95.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	97.06	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	97.15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	97.14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	97.48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	97.48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	97.48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	97.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	97.63	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	97.86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	97.87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	97.87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	97.84	97.733	95.4693	99.9967	0.4631	0.4528	0.9529	0.4528
50	98.72	98.9651	95.7758	102.1543	0.4401	0.7554	0.8792	0.7495
51	100.49	99.1684	95.1217	103.2151	0.2611	0.586	0.8359	0.7353
52	100.54	99.0958	94.1241	104.0675	0.2846	0.2913	0.7797	0.6855
53	100.54	99.3157	93.6476	104.9839	0.336	0.336	0.7372	0.6914
54	100.54	99.3883	93.2295	105.5471	0.357	0.357	0.7282	0.6855
55	100.55	99.5192	92.843	106.1953	0.3811	0.3822	0.7253	0.6859
56	100.59	99.4752	92.2229	106.7275	0.3816	0.3857	0.7033	0.6678
57	100.6	99.5388	91.8106	107.267	0.3939	0.3949	0.6858	0.6639
58	100.62	99.8151	91.7038	107.9264	0.4229	0.4248	0.6817	0.6808
59	100.68	99.8704	91.347	108.3938	0.4262	0.4316	0.6772	0.6772
60	100.68	99.812	90.8456	108.7784	0.4248	0.4248	0.6644	0.6644

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0118	0.0011	1e-04	0.0114	0.001	0.0309
50	0.0164	-0.0025	2e-04	0.0601	0.005	0.0707
51	0.0208	0.0133	0.0011	1.7466	0.1456	0.3815
52	0.0256	0.0146	0.0012	2.0857	0.1738	0.4169
53	0.0291	0.0123	0.001	1.4988	0.1249	0.3534
54	0.0316	0.0116	0.001	1.3264	0.1105	0.3325
55	0.0342	0.0104	9e-04	1.0626	0.0886	0.2976
56	0.0372	0.0112	9e-04	1.2428	0.1036	0.3218
57	0.0396	0.0107	9e-04	1.1262	0.0939	0.3064
58	0.0415	0.0081	7e-04	0.6478	0.054	0.2323
59	0.0435	0.0081	7e-04	0.6554	0.0546	0.2337
60	0.0458	0.0087	7e-04	0.7534	0.0628	0.2506