Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	88.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	115.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	104.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	113.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	112.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	100.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	107.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	126.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	102.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	117.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	128.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	87.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	93.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	122.7	117.0699	105.755	128.3848	0.1647	1	0.5803	1
50	126.2	110.5211	99.205	121.8372	0.0033	0.0175	0.8632	0.9981
51	124.6	112.7826	100.9281	124.6371	0.0254	0.0133	0.4593	0.9992
52	116.7	111.9384	98.7249	125.1519	0.24	0.0302	0.4845	0.9964
53	115.2	100.6473	87.4031	113.8915	0.0156	0.0088	0.491	0.8445
54	111.1	106.4649	92.7208	120.209	0.2543	0.1064	0.4526	0.9645
55	129.9	123.5178	109.3832	137.6524	0.1881	0.9575	0.3345	1
56	113.3	106.4188	92.1979	120.6398	0.1715	6e-04	0.6862	0.959
57	118.5	111.7	97.1778	126.2221	0.1794	0.4145	0.2014	0.9922
58	133.5	127.8808	113.1967	142.5649	0.2266	0.8947	0.4512	1
59	102.1	88.5924	73.8095	103.3754	0.0367	0	0.5576	0.245
60	102.4	92.7802	77.8341	107.7263	0.1036	0.1108	0.4468	0.4468

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0493	0.0481	0.004	31.698	2.6415	1.6253
50	0.0522	0.1419	0.0118	245.8275	20.4856	4.5261
51	0.0536	0.1048	0.0087	139.6508	11.6376	3.4114
52	0.0602	0.0425	0.0035	22.6728	1.8894	1.3746
53	0.0671	0.1446	0.012	211.781	17.6484	4.201
54	0.0659	0.0435	0.0036	21.4844	1.7904	1.338
55	0.0584	0.0517	0.0043	40.7327	3.3944	1.8424
56	0.0682	0.0647	0.0054	47.3506	3.9459	1.9864
57	0.0663	0.0609	0.0051	46.2404	3.8534	1.963
58	0.0586	0.0439	0.0037	31.5752	2.6313	1.6221
59	0.0851	0.1525	0.0127	182.4546	15.2046	3.8993
60	0.0822	0.1037	0.0086	92.5402	7.7117	2.777