Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	833	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	879.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	797.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	834.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	735.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	835	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	892.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	697.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	821.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	732.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	797.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	866.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	826.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	778.6	829.3177	683.5814	975.054	0.2476	0.5162	0.2499	0.5162
50	779.2	823.3226	654.3234	992.3217	0.3044	0.698	0.6186	0.4862
51	951	938.6934	749.267	1128.1198	0.4493	0.9506	0.8595	0.8776
52	692.3	840.6976	632.8419	1048.5534	0.0809	0.1491	0.8403	0.554
53	841.4	847.448	622.6689	1072.2271	0.479	0.9119	0.5432	0.5732
54	857.3	928.4184	687.9037	1168.933	0.2811	0.7609	0.6142	0.7973
55	760.7	774.9464	519.6643	1030.2285	0.4565	0.2636	0.7247	0.3467
56	841.2	869.9185	600.6777	1139.1593	0.4172	0.7867	0.6388	0.6246
57	810.3	810.774	528.2634	1093.2846	0.4987	0.4164	0.706	0.4571
58	1007.4	885.4571	590.2726	1180.6416	0.2091	0.6911	0.7202	0.6528
59	931.3	900.3737	593.0375	1207.7099	0.4218	0.2474	0.586	0.6817
60	931.2	834.816	515.7907	1153.8414	0.2769	0.2767	0.5209	0.5209

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0897	-0.0612	0.0051	2572.2877	214.3573	14.6409
50	0.1047	-0.0536	0.0045	1946.801	162.2334	12.7371
51	0.103	0.0131	0.0011	151.4528	12.6211	3.5526
52	0.1261	-0.1765	0.0147	22021.8619	1835.1552	42.8387
53	0.1353	-0.0071	6e-04	36.5782	3.0482	1.7459
54	0.1322	-0.0766	0.0064	5057.8249	421.4854	20.5301
55	0.1681	-0.0184	0.0015	202.9591	16.9133	4.1126
56	0.1579	-0.033	0.0028	824.7515	68.7293	8.2903
57	0.1778	-6e-04	0	0.2247	0.0187	0.1368
58	0.1701	0.1377	0.0115	14870.0743	1239.1729	35.2019
59	0.1742	0.0343	0.0029	956.4364	79.703	8.9277
60	0.195	0.1155	0.0096	9289.8658	774.1555	27.8236