| Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
| Totaal[t] = + 119.776923076923 + 13.8396794871795`9/11`[t] + 5.55316579254073M1[t] + 7.42940850815842M2[t] + 9.74731789044272M3[t] + 9.98189393939383M4[t] + 10.9164699883448M5[t] + 7.40937937062927M6[t] + 4.80228875291364M7[t] + 4.94519813519803M8[t] + 7.77977418414907M9[t] + 0.966273310023195M10[t] -0.355030594405694M11[t] -0.109576048951049t + e[t] |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
| Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
| (Intercept) | 119.776923076923 | 9.752169 | 12.2821 | 0 | 0 |
| `9/11` | 13.8396794871795 | 9.598784 | 1.4418 | 0.151816 | 0.075908 |
| M1 | 5.55316579254073 | 11.810395 | 0.4702 | 0.639024 | 0.319512 |
| M2 | 7.42940850815842 | 11.808873 | 0.6291 | 0.530389 | 0.265194 |
| M3 | 9.74731789044272 | 11.808531 | 0.8254 | 0.410666 | 0.205333 |
| M4 | 9.98189393939383 | 11.809367 | 0.8453 | 0.39956 | 0.19978 |
| M5 | 10.9164699883448 | 11.811382 | 0.9242 | 0.357118 | 0.178559 |
| M6 | 7.40937937062927 | 11.814574 | 0.6271 | 0.531694 | 0.265847 |
| M7 | 4.80228875291364 | 11.818944 | 0.4063 | 0.68519 | 0.342595 |
| M8 | 4.94519813519803 | 11.82449 | 0.4182 | 0.676495 | 0.338248 |
| M9 | 7.77977418414907 | 11.83121 | 0.6576 | 0.512009 | 0.256004 |
| M10 | 0.966273310023195 | 12.079492 | 0.08 | 0.936369 | 0.468184 |
| M11 | -0.355030594405694 | 12.061025 | -0.0294 | 0.976563 | 0.488281 |
| t | -0.109576048951049 | 0.117988 | -0.9287 | 0.354805 | 0.177403 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
| Multiple R | 0.190736931444518 |
| R-squared | 0.0363805770168706 |
| Adjusted R-squared | -0.0622576316349459 |
| F-TEST (value) | 0.368828444008859 |
| F-TEST (DF numerator) | 13 |
| F-TEST (DF denominator) | 127 |
| p-value | 0.977168178571238 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
| Residual Standard Deviation | 28.2842573680236 |
| Sum Squared Residuals | 101599.900287296 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
| Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
| 1 | 174.1 | 125.220512820512 | 48.8794871794878 |
| 2 | 180.4 | 126.987179487179 | 53.4128205128206 |
| 3 | 182.6 | 129.195512820513 | 53.4044871794872 |
| 4 | 207.1 | 129.320512820513 | 77.779487179487 |
| 5 | 213.7 | 130.145512820513 | 83.5544871794874 |
| 6 | 186.5 | 126.528846153846 | 59.9711538461538 |
| 7 | 179.1 | 123.812179487179 | 55.2878205128205 |
| 8 | 168.3 | 123.845512820513 | 44.4544871794871 |
| 9 | 156.5 | 126.570512820513 | 29.9294871794872 |
| 10 | 144.3 | 119.647435897436 | 24.6525641025641 |
| 11 | 138.9 | 118.216555944056 | 20.6834440559441 |
| 12 | 137.8 | 118.462010489511 | 19.3379895104894 |
| 13 | 136.3 | 123.905600233100 | 12.3943997668997 |
| 14 | 140.3 | 125.672266899767 | 14.6277331002331 |
| 15 | 149.1 | 127.880600233100 | 21.2193997668998 |
| 16 | 149.2 | 128.005600233100 | 21.1943997668998 |
| 17 | 140.4 | 128.830600233100 | 11.5693997668998 |
| 18 | 129 | 125.213933566434 | 3.78606643356643 |
| 19 | 124.7 | 122.497266899767 | 2.2027331002331 |
| 20 | 130.8 | 122.530600233100 | 8.26939976689976 |
| 21 | 130.1 | 125.255600233100 | 4.84439976689975 |
| 22 | 133.2 | 118.332523310023 | 14.8674766899767 |
| 23 | 130.1 | 116.901643356643 | 13.1983566433566 |
| 24 | 126.6 | 117.147097902098 | 9.45290209790197 |
| 25 | 124.8 | 122.590687645688 | 2.20931235431228 |
| 26 | 125.3 | 124.357354312354 | 0.942645687645686 |
| 27 | 126.9 | 126.565687645688 | 0.334312354312359 |
| 28 | 120.1 | 126.690687645688 | -6.59068764568765 |
| 29 | 118.7 | 127.515687645688 | -8.8156876456876 |
| 30 | 117.7 | 123.899020979021 | -6.19902097902098 |
| 31 | 113.4 | 121.182354312354 | -7.78235431235431 |
| 32 | 107.5 | 121.215687645688 | -13.7156876456877 |
| 33 | 107.6 | 123.940687645688 | -16.3406876456877 |
| 34 | 114.3 | 117.017610722611 | -2.71761072261073 |
| 35 | 114.9 | 115.586730769231 | -0.686730769230778 |
| 36 | 111.2 | 115.832185314685 | -4.63218531468544 |
| 37 | 109.9 | 121.275775058275 | -11.3757750582751 |
| 38 | 108.6 | 123.042441724942 | -14.4424417249417 |
| 39 | 109.2 | 125.250775058275 | -16.0507750582751 |
| 40 | 106.4 | 125.375775058275 | -18.9757750582751 |
| 41 | 103.7 | 126.200775058275 | -22.5007750582750 |
| 42 | 103 | 122.584108391608 | -19.5841083916084 |
| 43 | 96.9 | 119.867441724942 | -22.9674417249417 |
| 44 | 104.7 | 119.900775058275 | -15.2007750582751 |
| 45 | 102.2 | 122.625775058275 | -20.4257750582751 |
| 46 | 99 | 115.702698135198 | -16.7026981351981 |
| 47 | 95.8 | 114.271818181818 | -18.4718181818182 |
| 48 | 94.5 | 114.517272727273 | -20.0172727272729 |
| 49 | 102.7 | 119.960862470863 | -17.2608624708625 |
| 50 | 103.2 | 121.727529137529 | -18.5275291375291 |
| 51 | 105.6 | 123.935862470862 | -18.3358624708625 |
| 52 | 103.9 | 124.060862470862 | -20.1608624708625 |
| 53 | 107.2 | 124.885862470862 | -17.6858624708624 |
| 54 | 100.7 | 121.269195804196 | -20.5691958041958 |
| 55 | 92.1 | 118.552529137529 | -26.4525291375292 |
| 56 | 90.3 | 118.585862470862 | -28.2858624708625 |
| 57 | 93.4 | 121.310862470862 | -27.9108624708625 |
| 58 | 98.5 | 114.387785547786 | -15.8877855477856 |
| 59 | 100.8 | 112.956905594406 | -12.1569055944056 |
| 60 | 102.3 | 113.202360139860 | -10.9023601398603 |
| 61 | 104.7 | 118.64594988345 | -13.9459498834500 |
| 62 | 101.1 | 120.412616550117 | -19.3126165501166 |
| 63 | 101.4 | 122.620949883450 | -21.2209498834499 |
| 64 | 99.5 | 122.745949883450 | -23.2459498834499 |
| 65 | 98.4 | 123.570949883450 | -25.1709498834499 |
| 66 | 96.3 | 119.954283216783 | -23.6542832167833 |
| 67 | 100.7 | 117.237616550117 | -16.5376165501166 |
| 68 | 101.2 | 117.27094988345 | -16.0709498834499 |
| 69 | 100.3 | 119.995949883450 | -19.6959498834499 |
| 70 | 97.8 | 113.072872960373 | -15.2728729603730 |
| 71 | 97.4 | 125.481672494173 | -28.0816724941725 |
| 72 | 98.6 | 125.727127039627 | -27.1271270396272 |
| 73 | 99.7 | 131.170716783217 | -31.4707167832168 |
| 74 | 99 | 132.937383449883 | -33.9373834498834 |
| 75 | 98.1 | 135.145716783217 | -37.0457167832168 |
| 76 | 97 | 135.270716783217 | -38.2707167832168 |
| 77 | 98.5 | 136.095716783217 | -37.5957167832167 |
| 78 | 103.8 | 132.479050116550 | -28.6790501165501 |
| 79 | 114.4 | 129.762383449883 | -15.3623834498834 |
| 80 | 124.5 | 129.795716783217 | -5.29571678321678 |
| 81 | 134.2 | 132.520716783217 | 1.67928321678322 |
| 82 | 131.8 | 125.597639860140 | 6.20236013986016 |
| 83 | 125.6 | 124.166759906760 | 1.43324009324009 |
| 84 | 119.9 | 124.412214452215 | -4.51221445221455 |
| 85 | 114.9 | 129.855804195804 | -14.9558041958042 |
| 86 | 115.5 | 131.622470862471 | -16.1224708624708 |
| 87 | 112.5 | 133.830804195804 | -21.3308041958042 |
| 88 | 111.4 | 133.955804195804 | -22.5558041958042 |
| 89 | 115.3 | 134.780804195804 | -19.4808041958041 |
| 90 | 110.8 | 131.164137529138 | -20.3641375291375 |
| 91 | 103.7 | 128.447470862471 | -24.7474708624708 |
| 92 | 111.1 | 128.480804195804 | -17.3808041958042 |
| 93 | 113 | 131.205804195804 | -18.2058041958042 |
| 94 | 111.2 | 124.282727272727 | -13.0827272727273 |
| 95 | 117.6 | 122.851847319347 | -5.25184731934733 |
| 96 | 121.7 | 123.097301864802 | -1.39730186480197 |
| 97 | 127.3 | 128.540891608392 | -1.24089160839167 |
| 98 | 129.8 | 130.307558275058 | -0.50755827505825 |
| 99 | 137.1 | 132.515891608392 | 4.58410839160841 |
| 100 | 141.4 | 132.640891608392 | 8.7591083916084 |
| 101 | 137.4 | 133.465891608392 | 3.93410839160845 |
| 102 | 130.7 | 129.849224941725 | 0.850775058275053 |
| 103 | 117.2 | 127.132558275058 | -9.93255827505826 |
| 104 | 110.8 | 127.165891608392 | -16.3658916083916 |
| 105 | 111.4 | 129.890891608392 | -18.4908916083916 |
| 106 | 108.2 | 122.967814685315 | -14.7678146853147 |
| 107 | 108.8 | 121.536934731935 | -12.7369347319347 |
| 108 | 110.2 | 121.782389277389 | -11.5823892773894 |
| 109 | 109.5 | 127.225979020979 | -17.7259790209791 |
| 110 | 109.5 | 128.992645687646 | -19.4926456876457 |
| 111 | 116 | 131.200979020979 | -15.200979020979 |
| 112 | 111.2 | 131.325979020979 | -20.125979020979 |
| 113 | 112.1 | 132.150979020979 | -20.0509790209790 |
| 114 | 114 | 128.534312354312 | -14.5343123543123 |
| 115 | 119.1 | 125.817645687646 | -6.71764568764568 |
| 116 | 114.1 | 125.850979020979 | -11.7509790209790 |
| 117 | 115.1 | 128.575979020979 | -13.4759790209790 |
| 118 | 115.4 | 121.652902097902 | -6.25290209790208 |
| 119 | 110.8 | 120.222022144522 | -9.42202214452215 |
| 120 | 116 | 120.467476689977 | -4.4674766899768 |
| 121 | 119.2 | 125.911066433566 | -6.71106643356648 |
| 122 | 126.5 | 127.677733100233 | -1.17773310023309 |
| 123 | 127.8 | 129.886066433566 | -2.08606643356642 |
| 124 | 131.3 | 130.011066433566 | 1.28893356643359 |
| 125 | 140.3 | 130.836066433566 | 9.46393356643363 |
| 126 | 137.3 | 127.219399766900 | 10.0806002331002 |
| 127 | 143 | 124.502733100233 | 18.4972668997669 |
| 128 | 134.5 | 124.536066433566 | 9.96393356643357 |
| 129 | 139.9 | 127.261066433566 | 12.6389335664336 |
| 130 | 159.3 | 120.337989510490 | 38.9620104895105 |
| 131 | 170.4 | 118.907109557110 | 51.4928904428904 |
| 132 | 175 | 119.152564102564 | 55.8474358974358 |
| 133 | 175.8 | 124.596153846154 | 51.2038461538461 |
| 134 | 180.9 | 126.362820512820 | 54.5371794871795 |
| 135 | 180.3 | 128.571153846154 | 51.7288461538462 |
| 136 | 169.6 | 128.696153846154 | 40.9038461538462 |
| 137 | 172.3 | 129.521153846154 | 42.7788461538462 |
| 138 | 184.8 | 125.904487179487 | 58.8955128205128 |
| 139 | 177.7 | 123.187820512820 | 54.5121794871795 |
| 140 | 184.6 | 123.221153846154 | 61.3788461538462 |
| 141 | 211.4 | 125.946153846154 | 85.4538461538462 |
