Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[80])
68611-------
69613-------
70611-------
71594-------
72595-------
73591-------
74589-------
75584-------
76573-------
77567-------
78569-------
79621-------
80629-------
81628628.9928615.8929642.09270.4410.49960.99160.4996
82612622.9946603.8606642.12850.130.30410.89040.2692
83595604.8407580.6553629.02610.21260.28090.81020.0251
84597606.9623578.161635.76360.24890.79220.79220.0668
85593605.2216572.036638.40720.23520.68640.79950.0801
86590602.6366565.1977640.07560.25410.6930.76240.0838
87580596.4827554.8641638.10140.21880.61990.72170.0628
88574584.6133538.8527630.37390.32470.57830.69060.0286
89573577.4594527.5708627.3480.43050.55410.65940.0214
90573579.7277525.7087633.74680.40360.59640.65150.0369
91620630.5738572.4101688.73760.36080.97380.62650.5211
92626640.2643577.933702.59560.32690.7380.63840.6384


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
810.0106-0.00161e-040.98570.08210.2866
820.0157-0.01760.0015120.880310.07343.1739
830.0204-0.01630.001496.83898.06992.8408
840.0242-0.01640.001499.24718.27062.8759
850.028-0.02020.0017149.368512.44743.5281
860.0317-0.0210.0017159.684413.3073.6479
870.0356-0.02760.0023271.680922.64014.7582
880.0399-0.01820.0015112.64219.38683.0638
890.0441-0.00776e-0419.88641.65721.2873
900.0475-0.01160.00145.26223.77181.9421
910.0471-0.01680.0014111.80599.31723.0524
920.0497-0.02230.0019203.470616.95594.1178