Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[68])
56	110.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	100.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	103.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	117	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	108.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	95.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	96.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	103.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	101.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	100.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	104.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	98	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	99.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	97.4	106.4357	97.0765	115.5538	0.0261	0.932	0.8871	0.932
70	105.6	105.4464	96.0125	114.6332	0.4869	0.957	0.6373	0.8977
71	117.5	108.6892	99.1406	117.9922	0.0317	0.7424	0.04	0.9736
72	107.4	110.8967	99.5912	121.866	0.266	0.119	0.6722	0.9791
73	97.8	95.7269	83.7537	107.2655	0.3624	0.0237	0.5154	0.2608
74	91.5	93.9102	81.5497	105.7992	0.3456	0.2607	0.311	0.1784
75	107.7	110.1602	97.6262	122.2792	0.3454	0.9987	0.8443	0.9577
76	100.1	95.4316	82.1372	108.1903	0.2366	0.0297	0.1919	0.266
77	96.6	96.4042	82.8563	109.4015	0.4882	0.2887	0.2635	0.3203
78	106.8	106.9556	93.4219	119.9925	0.4907	0.9403	0.6551	0.8688
79	98	94.4333	80.1614	108.0829	0.3043	0.0379	0.3043	0.2334
80	98.6	91.2837	76.5925	105.2941	0.153	0.1737	0.1252	0.1252

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
69	0.0437	-0.0849	0.0071	81.6437	6.8036	2.6084
70	0.0445	0.0015	1e-04	0.0236	0.002	0.0444
71	0.0437	0.0811	0.0068	77.6298	6.4692	2.5435
72	0.0505	-0.0315	0.0026	12.2272	1.0189	1.0094
73	0.0615	0.0217	0.0018	4.2977	0.3581	0.5985
74	0.0646	-0.0257	0.0021	5.8089	0.4841	0.6958
75	0.0561	-0.0223	0.0019	6.0525	0.5044	0.7102
76	0.0682	0.0489	0.0041	21.7936	1.8161	1.3476
77	0.0688	0.002	2e-04	0.0383	0.0032	0.0565
78	0.0622	-0.0015	1e-04	0.0242	0.002	0.0449
79	0.0737	0.0378	0.0031	12.7215	1.0601	1.0296
80	0.0783	0.0801	0.0067	53.5288	4.4607	2.112