Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	117.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	119.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	116.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	111	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	112.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	130.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	109.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	118.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	123.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	101.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	112.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	128	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	129.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	125.8	122.9169	111.7846	135.1579	0.3222	0.1423	0.6911	0.1423
50	119.5	119.1923	108.2538	131.2361	0.48	0.1411	0.6869	0.0452
51	115.7	110.7861	100.581	122.0267	0.1958	0.0643	0.4851	5e-04
52	113.6	115.0008	102.6851	128.7936	0.4211	0.4604	0.6442	0.019
53	129.7	131.6088	117.3101	147.6503	0.4078	0.9861	0.549	0.5969
54	112	111.6443	99.4515	125.332	0.4797	0.0049	0.6422	0.0051
55	116.8	115.5137	102.2569	130.489	0.4332	0.6772	0.3336	0.0326
56	127	129.5856	114.5433	146.6033	0.3829	0.9296	0.7437	0.4993
57	112.1	109.9065	97.084	124.4225	0.3835	0.0105	0.869	0.0039
58	113.3	115.2874	101.556	130.8755	0.4013	0.6557	0.6228	0.036
59	120.5	131.3649	115.5932	149.2885	0.1174	0.9759	0.6435	0.5765
60	127.7	131.5559	115.6956	149.5905	0.3376	0.8852	0.5842	0.5842

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0508	0.0235	0.002	8.3122	0.6927	0.8323
50	0.0516	0.0026	2e-04	0.0947	0.0079	0.0888
51	0.0518	0.0444	0.0037	24.146	2.0122	1.4185
52	0.0612	-0.0122	0.001	1.9623	0.1635	0.4044
53	0.0622	-0.0145	0.0012	3.6435	0.3036	0.551
54	0.0626	0.0032	3e-04	0.1265	0.0105	0.1027
55	0.0661	0.0111	9e-04	1.6546	0.1379	0.3713
56	0.067	-0.02	0.0017	6.6851	0.5571	0.7464
57	0.0674	0.02	0.0017	4.8115	0.401	0.6332
58	0.069	-0.0172	0.0014	3.9498	0.3292	0.5737
59	0.0696	-0.0827	0.0069	118.0455	9.8371	3.1364
60	0.0699	-0.0293	0.0024	14.8681	1.239	1.1131