Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[68])
5696.8-------
57117.2-------
58112.3-------
59117.3-------
60111.1-------
61102.2-------
62104.3-------
63122.9-------
64107.6-------
65121.3-------
66131.5-------
6789-------
68104.4-------
69128.9122.3045111.5301134.11970.1370.99850.80140.9985
70135.9121.6111110.9085133.34650.00850.11170.940.998
71133.3116.4054105.984127.85160.00194e-040.43910.9801
72121.3109.88998.8036122.2180.03481e-040.42370.8086
73120.5102.439992.1532113.87480.0016e-040.51640.3684
74120.4105.782794.9991117.79030.00850.00810.59560.5893
75137.9118.4455105.9893132.36560.00310.39160.26530.976
76126.1112.1057100.2929125.30970.01891e-040.74820.8737
77133.2110.925399.1277124.12695e-040.01210.06170.8337
78146.6124.4583111.0839139.44310.00190.12640.17850.9957
79103.487.671878.234998.24710.001800.40280.001
80117.299.093888.3752111.11240.00160.24130.19340.1934


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
690.04930.05390.004543.50123.62511.904
700.04920.11750.0098204.172417.01444.1248
710.05020.14510.0121285.426723.78564.877
720.05720.10380.0087130.21210.8513.2941
730.0570.17630.0147326.16727.18065.2135
740.05790.13820.0115213.665917.80554.2197
750.060.16420.0137378.477831.53985.616
760.06010.12480.0104195.841816.32014.0398
770.06070.20080.0167496.164541.3476.4302
780.06140.17790.0148490.253140.85446.3917
790.06150.17940.0149247.375320.61464.5403
800.06190.18270.0152327.833827.31955.2268