Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[49])
37612-------
38595-------
39597-------
40593-------
41590-------
42580-------
43574-------
44573-------
45573-------
46620-------
47626-------
48620-------
49588-------
50566566.5383556.2711576.80550.4591000
51557572.7382557.0266588.44990.02480.79970.00120.0285
52561573.2524553.4706593.03410.11240.94630.02520.072
53549570.9698547.8969594.04280.0310.80150.0530.074
54532560.6638534.7431586.58450.01510.81110.07190.0194
55526551.9396523.4605580.41860.03710.9150.06450.0065
56511551.0621520.2365581.88780.00540.94450.08150.0094
57499552.5513519.5454585.55727e-040.99320.11230.0176
58555595.683560.6333630.73270.011510.08690.6663
59565606.9017569.9238643.87960.01320.9970.15570.8418
60542603.0803564.2681641.89250.0010.97280.19640.7768
61527579.3962538.8065619.9860.00570.96450.33890.3389


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
500.0092-0.0011e-040.28970.02410.1554
510.014-0.02750.0023247.691820.6414.5432
520.0176-0.02140.0018150.120412.513.537
530.0206-0.03850.0032482.673740.22286.3421
540.0236-0.05110.0043821.613668.46788.2745
550.0263-0.0470.0039672.860556.07177.4881
560.0285-0.07270.00611604.9736133.747811.5649
570.0305-0.09690.00812867.7388238.978215.4589
580.03-0.06830.00571655.1071137.925611.7442
590.0311-0.0690.00581755.7501146.312512.096
600.0328-0.10130.00843730.7998310.917.6324
610.0357-0.09040.00752745.3667228.780615.1255