Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[68])
5688.9-------
57115.9-------
58104.2-------
59113.4-------
60112.2-------
61100.8-------
62107.3-------
63126.6-------
64102.9-------
65117.9-------
66128.8-------
6787.5-------
6893.8-------
69122.7118.2666107.0261130.68770.24210.99990.64560.9999
70126.2116.4491105.3487128.71910.05970.1590.97480.9999
71124.6114.3913102.9537127.09960.05770.03430.56080.9993
72116.7111.01398.4743125.14820.21520.02980.43460.9915
73115.2101.779690.2035114.84130.0220.01260.55840.8844
74111.1107.390594.6612121.83160.30730.14460.50490.9674
75129.9123.0712107.8457140.44630.22060.91160.34530.9995
76113.3109.38695.6107125.14610.31320.00540.79010.9737
77118.5110.282695.9947126.69720.16320.35930.18150.9755
78133.5124.7157108.176143.78430.18330.73860.33730.9993
79102.190.22178.0593104.27750.048800.64780.3089
80102.491.667979.0733106.26860.07480.08070.38740.3874


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
690.05360.03750.003119.65471.63791.2798
700.05380.08370.00795.08077.92342.8149
710.05670.08920.0074104.21718.68482.947
720.0650.05120.004332.3422.69521.6417
730.06550.13190.011180.106715.00893.8741
740.06860.03450.002913.76021.14671.0708
750.0720.05550.004646.63253.8861.9713
760.07350.03580.00315.31921.27661.1299
770.07590.07450.006267.5255.62712.3721
780.0780.07040.005977.16326.43032.5358
790.07950.13170.011141.110911.75923.4292
800.08130.11710.0098115.17739.59813.0981