Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	88.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	127.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	105.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	114.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	106.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	104.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	121.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	141.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	99	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	126.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	134.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	81.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	88.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	132.7	123.4324	98.5608	148.3039	0.2326	0.997	0.3683	0.997
50	132.9	120.4872	95.1467	145.8277	0.1685	0.1724	0.883	0.9932
51	134.4	115.056	89.3042	140.8078	0.0705	0.0872	0.5047	0.978
52	103.7	106.2878	80.1752	132.4003	0.423	0.0174	0.4966	0.9079
53	119.7	104.7568	78.3283	131.1853	0.1339	0.5312	0.5076	0.8846
54	115	112.4124	85.7077	139.117	0.4247	0.2964	0.2501	0.9597
55	132.9	132.8037	105.8587	159.7487	0.4972	0.9023	0.2659	0.9993
56	108.5	111.3551	84.202	138.5081	0.4184	0.06	0.8138	0.9498
57	113.9	110.166	82.8342	137.4978	0.3944	0.5475	0.1179	0.939
58	142.9	134.4607	106.977	161.9443	0.2736	0.9287	0.5103	0.9995
59	95.2	81.0885	53.4779	108.6992	0.1582	0	0.494	0.2969
60	93	85.949	58.2346	113.6635	0.309	0.2565	0.4256	0.4256

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.1028	0.0751	0.0063	85.8893	7.1574	2.6753
50	0.1073	0.103	0.0086	154.0771	12.8398	3.5833
51	0.1142	0.1681	0.014	374.1908	31.1826	5.5841
52	0.1253	-0.0243	0.002	6.6966	0.558	0.747
53	0.1287	0.1426	0.0119	223.299	18.6083	4.3137
54	0.1212	0.023	0.0019	6.6959	0.558	0.747
55	0.1035	7e-04	1e-04	0.0093	8e-04	0.0278
56	0.1244	-0.0256	0.0021	8.1515	0.6793	0.8242
57	0.1266	0.0339	0.0028	13.9429	1.1619	1.0779
58	0.1043	0.0628	0.0052	71.2223	5.9352	2.4362
59	0.1737	0.174	0.0145	199.1333	16.5944	4.0736
60	0.1645	0.082	0.0068	49.716	4.143	2.0354