Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	88.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	127.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	105.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	114.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	106.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	104.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	121.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	141.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	99	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	126.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	134.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	81.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	88.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	132.7	125.0114	99.3022	150.7205	0.2789	0.9972	0.4188	0.9972
50	132.9	117.0123	91.3022	142.7224	0.1129	0.1159	0.8181	0.9848
51	134.4	111.19	83.6682	138.7118	0.0492	0.061	0.3958	0.9462
52	103.7	105.1976	76.6577	133.7376	0.459	0.0225	0.4671	0.8728
53	119.7	108.2846	79.5163	137.053	0.2184	0.6226	0.6017	0.9101
54	115	117.7151	88.3669	147.0633	0.4281	0.4473	0.3976	0.9741
55	132.9	140.0449	110.4765	169.6132	0.3179	0.9516	0.4642	0.9997
56	108.5	109.2719	79.523	139.0208	0.4797	0.0598	0.7507	0.9134
57	113.9	110.8353	80.9262	140.7445	0.4204	0.5608	0.1493	0.9275
58	142.9	144.4653	114.4675	174.4632	0.4593	0.9771	0.7509	0.9999
59	95.2	81.1937	51.1194	111.2681	0.1807	0	0.4972	0.3147
60	93	88.5409	58.4132	118.6685	0.3859	0.3324	0.4985	0.4985

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.1049	0.0615	0.0051	59.115	4.9262	2.2195
50	0.1121	0.1358	0.0113	252.4198	21.035	4.5864
51	0.1263	0.2087	0.0174	538.7039	44.892	6.7001
52	0.1384	-0.0142	0.0012	2.2429	0.1869	0.4323
53	0.1355	0.1054	0.0088	130.3103	10.8592	3.2953
54	0.1272	-0.0231	0.0019	7.3717	0.6143	0.7838
55	0.1077	-0.051	0.0043	51.0493	4.2541	2.0625
56	0.1389	-0.0071	6e-04	0.5958	0.0497	0.2228
57	0.1377	0.0277	0.0023	9.3922	0.7827	0.8847
58	0.1059	-0.0108	9e-04	2.4503	0.2042	0.4519
59	0.189	0.1725	0.0144	196.1753	16.3479	4.0433
60	0.1736	0.0504	0.0042	19.8838	1.657	1.2872