Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	75.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	99.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	88.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	94.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	98.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	84.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	87.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	103.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	88.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	93.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	106.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	73.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	78.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	101.6	100.3932	85.8165	114.97	0.4355	0.9983	0.5637	0.9983
50	101.4	88.896	73.8486	103.9435	0.0517	0.049	0.5102	0.9101
51	98.5	95.1177	80.0479	110.1875	0.33	0.2069	0.5268	0.9842
52	99	99.0277	83.7385	114.317	0.4986	0.527	0.5168	0.9956
53	89.5	84.3115	68.9695	99.6534	0.2537	0.0303	0.5057	0.7672
54	83.5	87.8109	72.4628	103.1591	0.291	0.4146	0.5057	0.8803
55	97.4	103.3815	88.0243	118.7386	0.2226	0.9944	0.5041	0.9992
56	87.8	88.2382	72.8773	103.5992	0.4777	0.1212	0.5019	0.8906
57	90.4	93.4273	78.0657	108.789	0.3497	0.7636	0.5014	0.9707
58	97.1	106.3201	90.9579	121.6823	0.1197	0.9789	0.501	0.9998
59	79.4	73.1112	57.7488	88.4736	0.2112	0.0011	0.5006	0.2419
60	85	78.6072	63.2447	93.9697	0.2074	0.4597	0.5004	0.5004

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0741	0.012	0.001	1.4563	0.1214	0.3484
50	0.0864	0.1407	0.0117	156.3493	13.0291	3.6096
51	0.0808	0.0356	0.003	11.4398	0.9533	0.9764
52	0.0788	-3e-04	0	8e-04	1e-04	0.008
53	0.0928	0.0615	0.0051	26.9208	2.2434	1.4978
54	0.0892	-0.0491	0.0041	18.5843	1.5487	1.2445
55	0.0758	-0.0579	0.0048	35.7781	2.9815	1.7267
56	0.0888	-0.005	4e-04	0.192	0.016	0.1265
57	0.0839	-0.0324	0.0027	9.1648	0.7637	0.8739
58	0.0737	-0.0867	0.0072	85.0102	7.0842	2.6616
59	0.1072	0.086	0.0072	39.549	3.2957	1.8154
60	0.0997	0.0813	0.0068	40.8679	3.4057	1.8454