Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	96.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	118.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	112.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	130.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	137.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	116.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	140.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	120.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	134.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	147.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	112.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	107.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	128.4	129.7376	113.5142	145.9611	0.4358	0.9969	0.9088	0.9969
50	137.7	124.682	108.0102	141.3538	0.063	0.331	0.917	0.9806
51	135	134.947	117.8561	152.0379	0.4976	0.3761	0.695	0.9993
52	151	144.4786	126.9951	161.9622	0.2324	0.856	0.7696	1
53	137.4	121.7195	103.8673	139.5717	0.0426	7e-04	0.7697	0.9458
54	132.4	125.0218	106.8229	143.2206	0.2134	0.0912	0.8121	0.9732
55	161.3	146.8105	128.2852	165.3358	0.0626	0.9363	0.7341	1
56	139.8	129.7028	110.8696	148.536	0.1467	5e-04	0.8256	0.9907
57	146	137.8693	118.7453	156.9933	0.2023	0.4216	0.6466	0.9992
58	154.6	152.4258	133.0269	171.8246	0.4131	0.7419	0.6977	1
59	142.1	119.5666	99.9076	139.2256	0.0123	2e-04	0.7625	0.8931
60	120.5	114.297	94.3916	134.2023	0.2707	0.0031	0.7607	0.7607

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0638	-0.0103	9e-04	1.7893	0.1491	0.3861
50	0.0682	0.1044	0.0087	169.4689	14.1224	3.758
51	0.0646	4e-04	0	0.0028	2e-04	0.0153
52	0.0617	0.0451	0.0038	42.5282	3.544	1.8826
53	0.0748	0.1288	0.0107	245.8776	20.4898	4.5266
54	0.0743	0.059	0.0049	54.4383	4.5365	2.1299
55	0.0644	0.0987	0.0082	209.9458	17.4955	4.1828
56	0.0741	0.0778	0.0065	101.9535	8.4961	2.9148
57	0.0708	0.059	0.0049	66.1087	5.5091	2.3471
58	0.0649	0.0143	0.0012	4.7274	0.3939	0.6277
59	0.0839	0.1885	0.0157	507.7554	42.3129	6.5048
60	0.0889	0.0543	0.0045	38.4778	3.2065	1.7907