Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	95.81	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	95.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	97.06	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	97.15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	97.14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	97.48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	97.48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	97.48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	97.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	97.63	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	97.86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	97.87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	97.87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	97.84	97.86	95.4522	100.2678	0.4935	0.4968	0.9532	0.4968
50	98.72	99.12	95.7148	102.5252	0.409	0.7694	0.8821	0.7641
51	100.49	99.21	95.0395	103.3805	0.2737	0.5911	0.8335	0.7356
52	100.54	99.2	94.3844	104.0156	0.2927	0.2998	0.7991	0.7059
53	100.54	99.54	94.156	104.924	0.3579	0.3579	0.7733	0.7284
54	100.54	99.54	93.6421	105.4379	0.3698	0.3698	0.7532	0.7105
55	100.55	99.54	93.1695	105.9105	0.378	0.3792	0.7369	0.6963
56	100.59	99.56	92.7497	106.3703	0.3835	0.3879	0.7234	0.6867
57	100.6	99.69	92.4665	106.9135	0.4025	0.4035	0.7119	0.6893
58	100.62	99.92	92.3058	107.5342	0.4285	0.4305	0.702	0.7011
59	100.68	99.93	91.9442	107.9158	0.427	0.4328	0.6934	0.6934
60	100.68	99.93	91.5891	108.2709	0.4301	0.4301	0.6858	0.6858

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0126	-2e-04	0	4e-04	0	0.0058
50	0.0175	-0.004	3e-04	0.16	0.0133	0.1155
51	0.0214	0.0129	0.0011	1.6384	0.1365	0.3695
52	0.0248	0.0135	0.0011	1.7956	0.1496	0.3868
53	0.0276	0.01	8e-04	1	0.0833	0.2887
54	0.0302	0.01	8e-04	1	0.0833	0.2887
55	0.0327	0.0101	8e-04	1.0201	0.085	0.2916
56	0.0349	0.0103	9e-04	1.0609	0.0884	0.2973
57	0.037	0.0091	8e-04	0.8281	0.069	0.2627
58	0.0389	0.007	6e-04	0.49	0.0408	0.2021
59	0.0408	0.0075	6e-04	0.5625	0.0469	0.2165
60	0.0426	0.0075	6e-04	0.5625	0.0469	0.2165