Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[81])
69	115.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
70	113.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
71	114.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
72	118.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	117	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
74	116.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
75	115.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
76	113.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
77	117.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
78	116.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
79	116.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
80	111.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
81	110.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	118.9	110.505	98.056	122.9539	0.0931	0.5191	0.313	0.5191
83	131.8	110.8729	88.2315	133.5143	0.035	0.2436	0.3801	0.5232
84	130.6	111.7494	79.9461	143.5527	0.1227	0.1083	0.341	0.538
85	138.3	111.781	71.8106	151.7514	0.0967	0.1781	0.399	0.5309
86	148.4	111.8165	64.5106	159.1224	0.0648	0.1363	0.4231	0.5267
87	148.7	111.2995	57.3228	165.2762	0.0872	0.089	0.4408	0.5159
88	144.3	111.1769	51.0554	171.2985	0.1401	0.1106	0.4685	0.5127
89	152.5	111.8553	46.007	177.7037	0.1132	0.1671	0.4345	0.5196
90	162.9	111.4795	40.2404	182.7186	0.0786	0.1295	0.4407	0.514
91	167.2	111.4604	35.1047	187.8162	0.0762	0.0933	0.4496	0.5129
92	166.5	110.814	29.5682	192.0598	0.0896	0.0869	0.4972	0.5059
93	185.6	111.0324	25.0867	196.9782	0.0445	0.1029	0.5076	0.5076

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
82	0.0575	0.076	0.0063	70.4768	5.8731	2.4234
83	0.1042	0.1887	0.0157	437.9448	36.4954	6.0411
84	0.1452	0.1687	0.0141	355.345	29.6121	5.4417
85	0.1824	0.2372	0.0198	703.2567	58.6047	7.6554
86	0.2159	0.3272	0.0273	1338.3512	111.5293	10.5607
87	0.2474	0.336	0.028	1398.7989	116.5666	10.7966
88	0.2759	0.2979	0.0248	1097.1366	91.428	9.5618
89	0.3004	0.3634	0.0303	1651.9879	137.6657	11.7331
90	0.326	0.4613	0.0384	2644.0697	220.3391	14.8438
91	0.3495	0.5001	0.0417	3106.9005	258.9084	16.0906
92	0.3741	0.5025	0.0419	3100.935	258.4113	16.0752
93	0.3949	0.6716	0.056	5560.3199	463.36	21.5258