Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	96.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	117.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	112.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	117.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	111.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	102.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	104.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	122.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	107.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	121.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	131.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	104.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	128.9	122.6335	111.5973	133.6697	0.1329	0.9994	0.8327	0.9994
50	135.9	120.2672	109.2305	131.3039	0.0027	0.0626	0.9214	0.9976
51	133.3	118.0326	106.6697	129.3956	0.0042	0.001	0.5503	0.9907
52	121.3	112.3954	100.0579	124.7329	0.0786	4e-04	0.5815	0.898
53	120.5	102.935	90.5726	115.2975	0.0027	0.0018	0.5464	0.4082
54	120.4	105.6767	93.0915	118.2618	0.0109	0.0105	0.5849	0.5788
55	137.9	120.4158	107.6232	133.2084	0.0037	0.501	0.3517	0.9929
56	126.1	111.2713	98.4442	124.0985	0.0117	0	0.7126	0.8531
57	133.2	114.2132	101.2876	127.1387	0.002	0.0357	0.1413	0.9316
58	146.6	128.743	115.7604	141.7256	0.0035	0.2505	0.3386	0.9999
59	103.4	87.9337	74.9263	100.9411	0.0099	0	0.4362	0.0065
60	117.2	100.722	87.6764	113.7675	0.0066	0.3437	0.2903	0.2903

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0459	0.0511	0.0043	39.2687	3.2724	1.809
50	0.0468	0.13	0.0108	244.3843	20.3654	4.5128
51	0.0491	0.1293	0.0108	233.092	19.4243	4.4073
52	0.056	0.0792	0.0066	79.2921	6.6077	2.5705
53	0.0613	0.1706	0.0142	308.528	25.7107	5.0706
54	0.0608	0.1393	0.0116	216.7768	18.0647	4.2503
55	0.0542	0.1452	0.0121	305.6962	25.4747	5.0472
56	0.0588	0.1333	0.0111	219.8891	18.3241	4.2807
57	0.0577	0.1662	0.0139	360.5004	30.0417	5.481
58	0.0514	0.1387	0.0116	318.8719	26.5727	5.1549
59	0.0755	0.1759	0.0147	239.2063	19.9339	4.4647
60	0.0661	0.1636	0.0136	271.5261	22.6272	4.7568