Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	75.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	99.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	88.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	94.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	98.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	84.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	87.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	103.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	88.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	93.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	106.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	73.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	78.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	101.6	95.6363	82.0061	109.2665	0.1956	0.9929	0.3042	0.9929
50	101.4	91.3264	77.6962	104.9566	0.0737	0.0698	0.6472	0.9664
51	98.5	90.417	76.7869	104.0472	0.1226	0.0571	0.2738	0.9554
52	99	98.2585	84.6283	111.8887	0.4575	0.4861	0.4747	0.9976
53	89.5	80.5368	66.9066	94.167	0.0987	0.004	0.2992	0.6097
54	83.5	83.5163	69.8862	97.1465	0.4991	0.1948	0.2737	0.7602
55	97.4	97.4167	83.7865	111.0469	0.499	0.9773	0.1988	0.9966
56	87.8	85.2978	71.6677	98.928	0.3595	0.0409	0.3382	0.8323
57	90.4	89.6106	75.9804	103.2408	0.4548	0.6027	0.2929	0.9433
58	97.1	104.4867	90.8565	118.1169	0.1441	0.9786	0.3971	0.9999
59	79.4	74.9599	61.3297	88.5901	0.2616	7e-04	0.6054	0.3003
60	85	76.9102	63.28	90.5404	0.1224	0.3602	0.404	0.404

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0727	0.0624	0.0052	35.5659	2.9638	1.7216
50	0.0761	0.1103	0.0092	101.4767	8.4564	2.908
51	0.0769	0.0894	0.0074	65.3341	5.4445	2.3333
52	0.0708	0.0075	6e-04	0.5499	0.0458	0.2141
53	0.0863	0.1113	0.0093	80.3384	6.6949	2.5874
54	0.0833	-2e-04	0	3e-04	0	0.0047
55	0.0714	-2e-04	0	3e-04	0	0.0048
56	0.0815	0.0293	0.0024	6.2608	0.5217	0.7223
57	0.0776	0.0088	7e-04	0.6232	0.0519	0.2279
58	0.0666	-0.0707	0.0059	54.5639	4.547	2.1324
59	0.0928	0.0592	0.0049	19.7148	1.6429	1.2818
60	0.0904	0.1052	0.0088	65.4454	5.4538	2.3353