Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	96.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	118.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	112.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	130.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	137.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	116.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	140.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	120.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	134.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	147.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	112.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	107.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	128.4	128.5714	112.0655	145.0773	0.4919	0.9946	0.8794	0.9946
50	137.7	122.5718	105.0999	140.0438	0.0448	0.2566	0.861	0.9587
51	135	140.1172	122.4265	157.8078	0.2854	0.6056	0.8567	0.9999
52	151	147.5022	129.7032	165.3013	0.3501	0.9157	0.8548	1
53	137.4	124.5981	106.7144	142.4819	0.0803	0.0019	0.8536	0.9724
54	132.4	126.397	108.4348	144.3592	0.2562	0.1149	0.8525	0.9824
55	161.3	150.4967	132.4579	168.5355	0.1202	0.9754	0.8515	1
56	139.8	130.2966	112.1819	148.4113	0.1519	4e-04	0.8504	0.994
57	146	143.7966	125.6065	161.9867	0.4062	0.6666	0.8494	1
58	154.6	156.8966	138.6314	175.1617	0.4027	0.8789	0.8484	1
59	142.1	121.9966	103.6566	140.3365	0.0158	2e-04	0.8475	0.9443
60	120.5	116.6966	98.2822	135.1109	0.3428	0.0034	0.8465	0.8465

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0655	-0.0013	1e-04	0.0294	0.0024	0.0495
50	0.0727	0.1234	0.0103	228.8611	19.0718	4.3671
51	0.0644	-0.0365	0.003	26.1856	2.1821	1.4772
52	0.0616	0.0237	0.002	12.2345	1.0195	1.0097
53	0.0732	0.1027	0.0086	163.8884	13.6574	3.6956
54	0.0725	0.0475	0.004	36.0362	3.003	1.7329
55	0.0612	0.0718	0.006	116.7118	9.726	3.1187
56	0.0709	0.0729	0.0061	90.3147	7.5262	2.7434
57	0.0645	0.0153	0.0013	4.8551	0.4046	0.6361
58	0.0594	-0.0146	0.0012	5.2742	0.4395	0.663
59	0.0767	0.1648	0.0137	404.1482	33.679	5.8034
60	0.0805	0.0326	0.0027	14.4661	1.2055	1.098