Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	1.2286	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	1.2613	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	1.2646	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	1.2262	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	1.1985	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	1.2007	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	1.2138	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	1.2266	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	1.2176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	1.2218	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	1.249	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	1.2991	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	1.3408	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	1.3119	1.3511	1.305	1.3971	0.0477	0.6691	0.9999	0.6691
50	1.3014	1.3511	1.2715	1.4307	0.1106	0.8327	0.9834	0.5999
51	1.3201	1.3511	1.2484	1.4538	0.2772	0.8284	0.9914	0.5778
52	1.2938	1.3511	1.2296	1.4726	0.1778	0.6914	0.9931	0.5659
53	1.2694	1.3511	1.2133	1.4889	0.1226	0.7924	0.9838	0.5581
54	1.2165	1.3511	1.1988	1.5034	0.0416	0.8534	0.9614	0.5526
55	1.2037	1.3511	1.1855	1.5166	0.0405	0.9444	0.9297	0.5484
56	1.2292	1.3511	1.1732	1.5289	0.0896	0.9479	0.9294	0.5451
57	1.2256	1.3511	1.1618	1.5404	0.097	0.8965	0.9096	0.5424
58	1.2015	1.3511	1.1509	1.5512	0.0715	0.8904	0.8413	0.5401
59	1.1786	1.3511	1.1407	1.5615	0.0541	0.9183	0.6859	0.5381
60	1.1856	1.3511	1.1309	1.5713	0.0704	0.9376	0.5365	0.5365

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0174	-0.029	0.0024	0.0015	1e-04	0.0113
50	0.0301	-0.0368	0.0031	0.0025	2e-04	0.0143
51	0.0388	-0.0229	0.0019	0.001	1e-04	0.0089
52	0.0459	-0.0424	0.0035	0.0033	3e-04	0.0165
53	0.052	-0.0605	0.005	0.0067	6e-04	0.0236
54	0.0575	-0.0996	0.0083	0.0181	0.0015	0.0389
55	0.0625	-0.1091	0.0091	0.0217	0.0018	0.0425
56	0.0672	-0.0902	0.0075	0.0149	0.0012	0.0352
57	0.0715	-0.0929	0.0077	0.0157	0.0013	0.0362
58	0.0756	-0.1107	0.0092	0.0224	0.0019	0.0432
59	0.0795	-0.1277	0.0106	0.0297	0.0025	0.0498
60	0.0832	-0.1225	0.0102	0.0274	0.0023	0.0478