| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | sar1 | sar2 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.4077 | 0.4176 | 0.1641 | 0.3399 | 0.1331 |
| (p-val) | (0.004 ) | (0.0019 ) | (0.224 ) | (0.0093 ) | (0.4144 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.4451 | 0.4113 | 0.1353 | 0.389 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.001 ) | (0.0026 ) | (0.3003 ) | (0.0013 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.5101 | 0.4798 | 0 | 0.4092 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (1e-04 ) | (NA ) | (5e-04 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 77.0379236049857 |
| 94.0048041741859 |
| 70.3478653200117 |
| -1.15606281030571 |
| -26.9171478926567 |
| -5.02101276667925 |
| -97.4846474214339 |
| 5.14822364234735 |
| 45.9123120198773 |
| 54.3502818713656 |
| 1.02596264494784 |
| -3.77131638912087 |
| -43.6930752049364 |
| 122.078067809911 |
| 193.250057986131 |
| -75.7593592945409 |
| 147.048928124183 |
| -86.0006577148843 |
| -83.1455143624575 |
| 60.2116970038445 |
| 34.0673372205651 |
| 135.686164219892 |
| 180.015074728141 |
| -113.080569665692 |
| -21.432173967154 |
| -193.326589319307 |
| 64.1908779229268 |
| -74.4231721164505 |
| 16.4434130424734 |
| 56.9490026978776 |
| -79.54102369834 |
| -122.432822382612 |
| -183.253141155153 |
| 70.859604285957 |
| 24.7247138778371 |
| -70.4305574351466 |
| 79.1867117431134 |
| 103.153303607268 |
| -56.7451873956394 |
| 93.3256971678896 |
| 22.6457579684618 |
| 5.55049486920655 |
| 55.8328447312812 |
| -6.64538836750114 |
| 49.4096190351518 |
| 47.5723207522877 |
| -16.9379642155370 |
| -104.226310427714 |
| -27.067749726883 |
| -20.3090385424338 |
| 34.9124989608296 |
| 6.69147120434991 |
| -21.3030213756030 |
| 6.71290127029533 |
| -82.8023090031994 |
| -41.2693112407499 |
| 21.2643397520387 |
| -3.66352641257299 |
| 29.4921405628647 |
| -38.0370283142545 |
