| Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
| graanprijs[t] = + 90.6785257984054 + 11.1582395826032ontkoppelde_bedrijfstoeslag[t] -11.2396111935848oogstomvang[t] + 0.625545648317884t + e[t] |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
| Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
| (Intercept) | 90.6785257984054 | 4.029015 | 22.5064 | 0 | 0 |
| ontkoppelde_bedrijfstoeslag | 11.1582395826032 | 3.606864 | 3.0936 | 0.002626 | 0.001313 |
| oogstomvang | -11.2396111935848 | 2.475575 | -4.5402 | 1.7e-05 | 9e-06 |
| t | 0.625545648317884 | 0.114217 | 5.4768 | 0 | 0 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
| Multiple R | 0.842616613280444 |
| R-squared | 0.710002756976206 |
| Adjusted R-squared | 0.700442408305092 |
| F-TEST (value) | 74.265362216488 |
| F-TEST (DF numerator) | 3 |
| F-TEST (DF denominator) | 91 |
| p-value | 0 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
| Residual Standard Deviation | 15.8101839862357 |
| Sum Squared Residuals | 22746.5345087547 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
| Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
| 1 | 102.7 | 91.3040714467235 | 11.3959285532766 |
| 2 | 103.2 | 91.9296170950413 | 11.2703829049588 |
| 3 | 105.6 | 92.555162743359 | 13.0448372566409 |
| 4 | 103.9 | 93.180708391677 | 10.7192916083231 |
| 5 | 107.2 | 93.8062540399949 | 13.3937459600052 |
| 6 | 100.7 | 94.4317996883127 | 6.26820031168726 |
| 7 | 92.1 | 95.0573453366306 | -2.95734533663062 |
| 8 | 90.3 | 95.6828909849485 | -5.3828909849485 |
| 9 | 93.4 | 96.3084366332664 | -2.90843663326638 |
| 10 | 98.5 | 96.9339822815843 | 1.56601771841573 |
| 11 | 100.8 | 97.5595279299022 | 3.24047207009784 |
| 12 | 102.3 | 98.18507357822 | 4.11492642177996 |
| 13 | 104.7 | 98.810619226538 | 5.88938077346208 |
| 14 | 101.1 | 99.4361648748558 | 1.66383512514418 |
| 15 | 101.4 | 100.061710523174 | 1.33828947682631 |
| 16 | 99.5 | 100.687256171492 | -1.18725617149158 |
| 17 | 98.4 | 101.312801819809 | -2.91280181980946 |
| 18 | 96.3 | 101.938347468127 | -5.63834746812735 |
| 19 | 100.7 | 102.563893116445 | -1.86389311644523 |
| 20 | 101.2 | 103.189438764763 | -1.98943876476311 |
| 21 | 100.3 | 103.814984413081 | -3.514984413081 |
| 22 | 97.8 | 104.440530061399 | -6.64053006139888 |
| 23 | 97.4 | 105.066075709717 | -7.66607570971676 |
| 24 | 98.6 | 105.691621358035 | -7.09162135803466 |
| 25 | 99.7 | 106.317167006353 | -6.61716700635253 |
| 26 | 99 | 106.942712654670 | -7.94271265467042 |
| 27 | 98.1 | 107.568258302988 | -9.4682583029883 |
| 28 | 97 | 108.193803951306 | -11.1938039513062 |
| 29 | 98.5 | 108.819349599624 | -10.3193495996241 |
| 30 | 103.8 | 109.444895247942 | -5.64489524794196 |
| 31 | 114.4 | 110.070440896260 | 4.32955910374017 |
| 32 | 124.5 | 110.695986544578 | 13.8040134554223 |
| 33 | 134.2 | 111.321532192896 | 22.8784678071044 |
| 34 | 131.8 | 111.947077841213 | 19.8529221587865 |
| 35 | 125.6 | 112.572623489531 | 13.0273765104686 |
| 36 | 119.9 | 113.198169137849 | 6.70183086215074 |
| 37 | 114.9 | 113.823714786167 | 1.07628521383286 |
| 38 | 115.5 | 114.449260434485 | 1.05073956551497 |
| 39 | 112.5 | 115.074806082803 | -2.57480608280291 |
| 40 | 111.4 | 115.700351731121 | -4.30035173112079 |
| 41 | 115.3 | 116.325897379439 | -1.02589737943868 |
| 42 | 110.8 | 116.951443027757 | -6.15144302775657 |
| 43 | 103.7 | 117.576988676074 | -13.8769886760744 |
| 44 | 111.1 | 106.962923130808 | 4.13707686919245 |
| 45 | 113 | 107.588468779125 | 5.41153122087457 |
| 46 | 111.2 | 108.214014427443 | 2.98598557255669 |
| 47 | 117.6 | 108.839560075761 | 8.7604399242388 |
| 48 | 121.7 | 109.465105724079 | 12.2348942759209 |
| 49 | 127.3 | 110.090651372397 | 17.2093486276030 |
| 50 | 129.8 | 110.716197020715 | 19.0838029792852 |
| 51 | 137.1 | 111.341742669033 | 25.7582573309673 |
| 52 | 141.4 | 111.967288317351 | 29.4327116826494 |
| 53 | 137.4 | 112.592833965669 | 24.8071660343315 |
| 54 | 130.7 | 113.218379613986 | 17.4816203860136 |
| 55 | 117.2 | 113.843925262304 | 3.35607473769574 |
| 56 | 110.8 | 125.709082104207 | -14.9090821042069 |
| 57 | 111.4 | 126.334627752525 | -14.9346277525248 |
| 58 | 108.2 | 126.960173400843 | -18.7601734008427 |
| 59 | 108.8 | 127.585719049161 | -18.7857190491606 |
| 60 | 110.2 | 128.211264697478 | -18.0112646974785 |
| 61 | 109.5 | 139.995049928400 | -30.4950499283996 |
| 62 | 109.5 | 140.620595576717 | -31.1205955767174 |
| 63 | 116 | 141.246141225035 | -25.2461412250353 |
| 64 | 111.2 | 141.871686873353 | -30.6716868733532 |
| 65 | 112.1 | 142.497232521671 | -30.3972325216711 |
| 66 | 114 | 143.122778169989 | -29.122778169989 |
| 67 | 119.1 | 143.748323818307 | -24.6483238183069 |
| 68 | 114.1 | 121.894647079455 | -7.79464707945516 |
| 69 | 115.1 | 122.520192727773 | -7.42019272777305 |
| 70 | 115.4 | 123.145738376091 | -7.74573837609092 |
| 71 | 110.8 | 123.771284024409 | -12.9712840244088 |
| 72 | 116 | 124.396829672727 | -8.39682967272669 |
| 73 | 119.2 | 136.180614903648 | -16.9806149036478 |
| 74 | 126.5 | 136.806160551966 | -10.3061605519657 |
| 75 | 127.8 | 137.431706200284 | -9.63170620028354 |
| 76 | 131.3 | 138.057251848601 | -6.75725184860141 |
| 77 | 140.3 | 138.682797496919 | 1.61720250308070 |
| 78 | 137.3 | 139.308343145237 | -2.00834314523718 |
| 79 | 143 | 139.933888793555 | 3.06611120644492 |
| 80 | 134.5 | 163.038656829043 | -28.5386568290425 |
| 81 | 139.9 | 163.664202477360 | -23.7642024773604 |
| 82 | 159.3 | 164.289748125678 | -4.98974812567829 |
| 83 | 170.4 | 164.915293773996 | 5.48470622600382 |
| 84 | 175 | 165.540839422314 | 9.45916057768593 |
| 85 | 175.8 | 166.166385070632 | 9.63361492936805 |
| 86 | 180.9 | 166.79193071895 | 14.1080692810502 |
| 87 | 180.3 | 167.417476367268 | 12.8825236327323 |
| 88 | 169.6 | 168.043022015586 | 1.55697798441439 |
| 89 | 172.3 | 168.668567663904 | 3.63143233609652 |
| 90 | 184.8 | 169.294113312221 | 15.5058866877786 |
| 91 | 177.7 | 169.919658960539 | 7.78034103946073 |
| 92 | 184.6 | 170.545204608857 | 14.0547953911429 |
| 93 | 211.4 | 171.170750257175 | 40.229249742825 |
| 94 | 215.3 | 171.796295905493 | 43.5037040945071 |
| 95 | 215.9 | 172.421841553811 | 43.4781584461892 |
