ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection
Iterationar1ar2ar3ma1
Estimates ( 1 )-0.5816-0.4559-0.2526-1
(p-val)(0.0011 )(0.0151 )(0.1425 )(0 )
Estimates ( 2 )-0.4886-0.31810-1
(p-val)(0.0041 )(0.0569 )(NA )(0 )
Estimates ( 3 )-0.366300-1
(p-val)(0.0251 )(NA )(NA )(0 )
Estimates ( 4 )NANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 5 )NANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 6 )NANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 7 )NANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )


Estimated ARIMA Residuals
Value
-0.0110749376442034
4.78614319483157
-10.6461667852218
11.0742570884528
2.41946139142617
-9.29683714141346
-10.7770612684633
10.2245494189972
27.0046618337149
-12.7836078337918
-22.0471738557813
12.5408340540777
17.9930533927806
29.5130498096558
1.34630798758991
3.11233070332155
-9.1392358389866
8.15589962799249
-2.68574611496371
16.0677770171217
-17.3512695732860
14.8378202855003
0.677293081954746
-6.90730034294006
8.77589568552363
-39.3520822705388
2.83866109033851
4.75981087262861
10.3650004378897
0.379371727812778
8.03465088083973
-21.4921656455459
-3.99398438746676
19.0068610148204
-0.608544887310398