Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	205	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	199.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	219.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	211.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	215.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	240.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	242.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	240.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	255.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	253	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	218.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	203.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	205.6	201.7413	178.4586	225.0239	0.3727	0.4345	0.7427	0.4345
50	215.6	202.8003	169.8737	235.7269	0.2231	0.4338	0.5825	0.4786
51	188.5	206.4373	166.1106	246.7639	0.1917	0.328	0.2659	0.5529
52	202.9	204.8808	158.3156	251.446	0.4668	0.7547	0.3967	0.5198
53	214	205.5039	153.4423	257.5654	0.3745	0.539	0.3575	0.5271
54	230.3	210.1531	153.1225	267.1836	0.2443	0.4474	0.1509	0.5878
55	230	210.5855	148.9855	272.1855	0.2684	0.2652	0.1572	0.5867
56	241	210.1786	144.3254	276.0318	0.1795	0.2776	0.1818	0.5765
57	259.6	212.8662	143.0183	282.714	0.0949	0.2149	0.1163	0.6015
58	247.8	212.3069	138.6808	285.933	0.1724	0.104	0.1393	0.5906
59	270.3	205.8361	128.6164	283.0558	0.0509	0.1434	0.3768	0.5216
60	289.7	203.2135	122.5601	283.8668	0.0178	0.0515	0.4953	0.4953

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0589	0.0191	0.0016	14.8899	1.2408	1.1139
50	0.0828	0.0631	0.0053	163.8319	13.6527	3.6949
51	0.0997	-0.0869	0.0072	321.7452	26.8121	5.178
52	0.116	-0.0097	8e-04	3.9235	0.327	0.5718
53	0.1293	0.0413	0.0034	72.1844	6.0154	2.4526
54	0.1385	0.0959	0.008	405.8985	33.8249	5.8159
55	0.1492	0.0922	0.0077	376.9241	31.4103	5.6045
56	0.1599	0.1466	0.0122	949.9574	79.1631	8.8974
57	0.1674	0.2195	0.0183	2184.0505	182.0042	13.4909
58	0.1769	0.1672	0.0139	1259.7577	104.9798	10.246
59	0.1914	0.3132	0.0261	4155.5959	346.2997	18.6091
60	0.2025	0.4256	0.0355	7479.9203	623.3267	24.9665